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The Credit Market Rescue Plan |
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There was a lot of hand-wringing about the appearance of the bailout plan in the House rather than consideration about its necessity. The credit market is the grease for the wheels of our economy, not just for the distant entities on Wall Street, but for the small business person on Main Street. Consumers and entrepreneurs won't be able to get loans for durable goods, like refrigerators, cars, or mortgages, even if they have good credit. Many Democrats and Republicans today shamefully demonstrated their ignorance on a very important event in our nation's history. These representatives voted with their upcoming electability rather than what was important.
As for the people who have been decrying this plan for the last two weeks, maybe they should start thinking about where loans make an effect on their own lives. I understand why people are reticent to trust the Bush Administration, but to sink our economy just to spite them isn't going to hurt them as much as its going to hurt us. Likewise for the executives on Wall Street, if the economy grinds to a halt, these people are going to be able to walk away regardless with millions in pay and bonuses. Really, the people hurt today by the voting-down of the bailout are the average American. I don't like spending $700B more than anyone else, but isn't spending it better than facing massive layoffs, a continuing mortgage crisis, and depleted retirement accounts? Here's one example of the credit market grinding to a halt: http://consumerist.com/5056487/ameri...-25000-to-1800. In that post, a small business owner is discussing how his credit limit has been cut 93%. That owner may not be able to pay the expenses of his company for the month and many other businesses probably are in the same boat. Others may be unable to borrow to buy new inventory, or capital goods. Many businesses may need to shutdown or could even go bankrupt. Not passing the bailout isn't going to hurt Wall Street as much as it's going to hurt the majority of Americans on Main Street. |
Comments (Total Comments: 5) |
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- 09-29-2008, 06:53 PM
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Wow, first time I've read a CAG talk about the economy and actually know what he's talking about.
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- 09-29-2008, 07:32 PM
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Thanks DQT. That's why I called the blog "Serious Thought". If I'm going to put my thoughts to words, it's not going to be based on some knee-jerk silliness. Or if it is, at least I'll put my reasons down for discussion.
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- 09-29-2008, 08:12 PM
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well in the event that the bailout is voted through, let's just hope it does not delay the inevitable. Hell it would be great if even a small handful who undeservingly make so much money (actors, "artists", athletes, etc) would be willingly to aid our economy.
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- 09-29-2008, 08:41 PM
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My main problem with the bill is that it was the governments version of what the private markets had done. The private market had granted bad loans and accepted a huge amount of risk with no safety net. The government would have made a similarly bad loan with the American taxpayer as the one that bears the brunt the risk.
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- 09-29-2008, 10:39 PM
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This bill wasn't to be a loan from the government to Wall Street firms. The $700B was so that the Secretary of the Treasury and the oversight board could purchase bundles of mortgages from banks and hold on to them until the market uncertainty decreases.
Currently the problem is that all these banks own these mortgage packages, but they don't know how much they're worth (because no one knows how many people will default on their mortgages). Banks aren't loaning money to each other and other companies because they don't know how many assets anyone has. For example, it's similar to a single person trying to get a loan from a bank and using their house for collateral. The bank won't make the loan if the collateral could be worth anywhere from $600,000 to as little as $200k. Scale that up for banks and large corporations, replacing the individual's house with these mortgage-backed securities. If the Federal government offers to buy up any of these bundles at 40% of their original value, then there's a reference point from which banks can begin making loans. There's actually a decent chance that the government will be able to hold on to these packages for a while and make money off of them, simply because they can be patient. The Resolution Trust Company, the solution for the Savings & Loan Crisis of the late 1980s, is very similar to what we're trying to do today. It ended up being a profit maker for the American taxpayer after several years. I'm not saying that the taxpayer is guaranteed a profit from today's purchases, but the bailout is not a certain loss. Thanks for the comment evyrew. Anyone else who'd like to discuss or debate, please do! Or discuss it with other people in your life. |
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