113 replies to this topic

[daroga]

http://www.joystiq.c...g-expectations/

Possibly up to 11 million manufactured by the end of December? Wow.

[evilmax17]

Nintendo has sold 21 million GCNs so far, and they're going to have 11 million Wiis built by 2007?

That means they're predicting this to sell like hotcakes.

[MusicNoteLess]

Maybe someone will break the Street Date for the Wii since they're so many on hand. Hopefully...

[jkam]

Great! Now Gamestop (have credit there sucks I know) can stop being asshats and start real fucking pre-orders.

[daroga]

I think they've learned from the mistakes of Microsoft (and soon Sony). Shortages may create all sorts of hype, but hype with nothing to sell does you little good. I really wonder what the 360 would be at right now if they were able to keep their production up. I don't think I saw a real like, unclaimed 360 in a store until March of this year. That's like 5 months of people going to the store and finding nothing.

Looks like they'll be well stocked for the holidays, including that vital post-holiday "I got money for Christmas!!!" shopping.

[Troz1820]

Now the big question is if enough copies of the games will be pressed. If there truly will be this many systems on store shelves I would be willing to bet that the software could be hard to come by.

[daroga]

Now the big question is if enough copies of the games will be pressed. If there truly will be this many systems on store shelves I would be willing to bet that the software could be hard to come by.

Especailly Zelda. The adoption rate on that game is going to be almost 1:1 as all the gamers get their hands on the Wii first. Although, I'm sure Nintendo knows this and is planning accordingly.

[foltzie]

Now the big question is if enough copies of the games will be pressed. If there truly will be this many systems on store shelves I would be willing to bet that the software could be hard to come by.

Especailly Zelda. The adoption rate on that game is going to be almost 1:1 as all the gamers get their hands on the Wii first. Although, I'm sure Nintendo knows this and is planning accordingly.

QFT.

However, you would think that pressing the games is a minor point.

[Zoglog]

not suprising given the unadvanced hardware. Good news

[ryanbph]

they have said for awhile they would have a bunch of them for launch, I haven't understood why people are talking about camping out for them. 4mill is a shitload of them, and now we are talking 11mill.

[Kaijufan]

I call . There is no way Nintendo will have 11 million Wiis made by the end of the year.

[camoor]

Does this mean that I will have a shot at walking in a store and lunchtime and picking one up?

If so, then I say bravo for Nintendo. My respect for their business acumen has increased.

[botticus]

I call . There is no way Nintendo will have 11 million Wiis made by the end of the year.

Well, the article says between 9 and 11 million. Nintendo estimated 4 million, which was most likely conservative. So figure their internal estimate was something like 5 or 6 million, and suddenly 7 or 8 million available for shipment (not including an odd million or so that are being assembled) doesn't seem too far fetched if everything was moving smoothly.

[ryanbph]

Does this mean that I will have a shot at walking in a store and lunchtime and picking one up?

If so, then I say bravo for Nintendo. My respect for their business acumen has increased.

11 mill or 5 mill I don't think it will be a problem going into a store and getting one b4 xmass

[sonderiaom]

Possibly up to 11 million manufactured by the end of December? Wow.

Coming into the thread, I had assumed that you were going to mention how one of the factories had burned down or something so that many Wiis would have been of no use, but dear god, that's a lotta Wiis.

[furyk]

Holy Moly Andy!

[ananag112]

There is no way the Wii will sell that much at launch at $250 a piece.

[Dr Mario Kart]

I dont see how they can make so many so fast. They had trouble keeping DSes in stock in Japan for the longest time. Thats going to be hot there this Winter as well.

[Corvin]

I dont see how they can make so many so fast. They had trouble keeping DSes in stock in Japan for the longest time. Thats going to be hot there this Winter as well.

Because they've been producing them since July and not selling until mid November. That is 4 1/2 months of production just sitting in a warehouse somewhere.

[Gator]

I dont see how they can make so many so fast. They had trouble keeping DSes in stock in Japan for the longest time. Thats going to be hot there this Winter as well.

DS's are hard to make because of a shortage of LCD screens. Since it has TWO LCD screens, it made it even harder to get those things through the production line.

Since the architecture of the Wii is so similar to that of the Gamecube (and isn't so far "advanced" as the PS3), it's conceivable that these production estimates could be exceeded - they didn't have to severely reconfigure any part of their manufacturing process, and they don't have any new manufacturing tools (like Sony does with Blu-Ray drives).

[daroga]

Because they've been producing them since July and not selling until mid November. That is 4 1/2 months of production just sitting in a warehouse somewhere.

We need a CAG spy team to figure out WHERE this warehouse is and pay it a visit. I'll gladly leave a check for $249.99 in place of a waiting Wii unit.

[furyk]

There is no way the Wii will sell that much at launch at $250 a piece.

In the United States, hell no. The US, Europe, and Japan though........

[Dr Mario Kart]

Who says they are planning a sell out? I'm sure they would like it, but they might just want it to be available.

So Bob hears about how his friend bought little Timmy one and they're having fun with it, and they dont have to get it on ebay, they can just walk into the Walmart and get it, even close to Christmas

[Tybee]

If this is true, it's pretty much excellent news all around: for consumers, for Nintendo, for retailers, and for the industry. It will be interesting to see how that number is broken down in terms of who (Japan, N.A., Europe) gets what.

It was funny reading the comments on kotaku. Basically 90% Nintendudes tapping the kegs and a few lonely Sony fanboys trying desperately to find a cloud in that silver lining.

[botticus]

Who says they are planning a sell out? I'm sure they would like it, but they might just want it to be available.

So Bob hears about how his friend bought little Timmy one and they're having fun with it, and they dont have to get it on ebay, they can just walk into the Walmart and get it, even close to Christmas

That sounds like a horrible way to do business. Allowing people to just up and buy your product in any store.

[Tybee]

That sounds like a horrible way to do business. Allowing people to just up and buy your product in any store.

Next thing you know, they'll be selling them in QuickTrips...like Taquitos!

[drfunk85]

I think they are hoping for word to spread quickly after the initial launch and have a bunch of units available so that parents can run out and get one for their kids for Christmas, and I think it will work. There doesn't seem to be any other "It" toy within price range. PS3 is way too expensive for a gift, and the the 360 is a year old and not as hot. I think Nintendo will be competing with itself (Wii vs. DS) as the gift to give kids this year.

[botticus]

I think they are hoping for word to spread quickly after the initial launch and have a bunch of units available so that parents can run out and get one for their kids for Christmas, and I think it will work. There doesn't seem to be any other "It" toy within price range. PS3 is way too expensive for a gift, and the the 360 is a year old and not as hot. I think Nintendo will be competing with itself (Wii vs. DS) as the gift to give kids this year.

A couple of toy catalogs are already including it as one of the hot items this holiday season, so it's certainly not going to hurt to have them available between launch day and Christmas.

[Tybee]

I think they are hoping for word to spread quickly after the initial launch and have a bunch of units available so that parents can run out and get one for their kids for Christmas, and I think it will work. There doesn't seem to be any other "It" toy within price range. PS3 is way too expensive for a gift, and the the 360 is a year old and not as hot. I think Nintendo will be competing with itself (Wii vs. DS) as the gift to give kids this year.

Well, there's always Tickle Me Elmo X, but I think we all know that is little more than Grover With A Gimmick.

[Wolfpup]

If this is for real, it's awesome news. Wii already has the best buzz (among us gamers), and now it might exceed Micrsoft's units in just two months? Awesome.

I've been increasingly wondering if Nintendo is going to reclaim the #1 spot. It would be nice for a GAME company to be in that position again for once.

(I thought the DS was going to bomb horribly when it came out, and it didn't even have half the buzz Wii has.)

Red Steel still looks pretty great to me. The graphics look awesome, I love that it has both sword fighting and guns, and I potentially love that you actually sword fight with...well a sword, sort of