How optimistic are you about making the World Series a third year in a row when your division got a little tougher?
If they stay healthy they should still win the division. They are 7 deep in the rotation, have a loaded farm system, and solid at every position (Moreland is healthy so 1B shouldn't be a glaring hole this year). The Angel's are relying on Trumbo and Morales to protect Pujols, and that is somewhat iffy since one is young and the other has missed two seasons. The Angels are solid, but their lineup is still weak especially if Vernon Wells hits like he did last year.
Detroit is the only team that really scares me at this point. If Cabrera loses weight they could be solid. I don't think they are substantially better than last year, but Texas isn't either so it should be another solid matchup between two clubs.
The Yanks/Sox certainly are capable, but injuries have gotten the better of them the past two years and I don't know if they can reverse that trend since father time seems to be wearing them down.