I know that Microsoft replaces RROD'd xbox 360s because I know a bunch of people that have gotten RROD. In my experience they were the people that leave their consoles on all day and/or travel with them a lot, whereas I've had my xbox for like 2 years now and have had no trouble because I take care of it. Xbox 360s prior to the slim weren't well made, but I was never afraid of getting RROD because I figured it wouldn't be repaired (I know I can get it repaired for free), I was because that would mean a massive break in my game time.
I know this isn't scientific, but amongst my friends, every one of them who brought a 360 slim did so in order to avoid the potential inconvenience of RROD.
Why is this relevant? Because there's an argument to be made that a lot of the purchases of Xbox 360s this year were not purchases that will expand the install base. If your install base isn't expanding, then you're not in a position to sell much software, especially if the ways in which your base actually is expanding is by appealing to mainstream (as Kinect has almost exclusively) which is notorious for not purchasing many games.
I think it's delusional to think that, as a core gamer's console, the Xbox 360 is in good shape right now. Microsoft is saying things publicly like "The 360 is not for gaming, it's for general entertainment," releasing very few exclusives, is upping the cost of gold subscriptions, and seems completely focused on catering to casuals. At this point I really am thinking about selling my xbox. The only thing that's convincing me to keep it are the awesome past-exclusives like Deadly Premonition, Tale of Vesperia, Lost Odyssey, and the XBLA games coming out this year.
Not that Sony doesn't have its problems: the hacking thing could be a big deal (it's made MW2 practically unplayable from what I've heard), for some reason they've decided to focus on the PSP2 which is retarded as their console business is finally starting to get back on track, and Move hasn't enjoyed the same level of success as Kinect.
I get that you guys are entitled to your opinions, and my posts are not an attempt of depriving you of those. However, I do feel some of what you stated on the show is factually incorrect. Little Big Planet 2 is not a "niche" game -- quite the opposite, everyone I know loves it from my 4 year old niece, to my teenage brothers, and even my father.
You guys kept saying that Sony doesn't have any "system sellers" with the exception of both Killzone 3 and Uncharted 3, however, there are 2 games on 360 coming out this year that are exclusive core games: Gears of War 3 and Forza 4. Of those, Gears of War 3 has mass market appeal and the racing genre in general seems to be suffering from massive contraction (if the performance of Split Second and Blur are any indication). I suppose Dance Central 2 could be seen as a system seller, but considering how recently the original came out that does not seem likely. So, how is Microsoft in any better shape?
2011 is shaping up to be a hard year for Microsoft. The Launch of the 3DS is going to suck a lot of cash out of the system, their Kinect momentum is dying, there's no way the newly redesigned hardware is going to see a price drop anytime soon, and the slim's effect on hardware sales is going to be over halfway through the year. Combine that with a lack of exclusives and more multiplats selling on the PS3, and I don't know how you can think this year is gonna be kinder to Microsoft than Sony. That isn't to say Microsoft is going to be doing bad by any stretch of the imagination.
I predict they'll continue to edge PS3 out in multiplat sales, and the Kinect will continue to cater to casuals with great success. I just don't think it's the console that is going to be better for core gamers this year, unlike how 2005, 2006, 2007, and 2008 unquestionably were better for Microsoft (and I think you could make an argument that 2010 was as well).
I know this isn't scientific, but amongst my friends, every one of them who brought a 360 slim did so in order to avoid the potential inconvenience of RROD.
Why is this relevant? Because there's an argument to be made that a lot of the purchases of Xbox 360s this year were not purchases that will expand the install base. If your install base isn't expanding, then you're not in a position to sell much software, especially if the ways in which your base actually is expanding is by appealing to mainstream (as Kinect has almost exclusively) which is notorious for not purchasing many games.
I think it's delusional to think that, as a core gamer's console, the Xbox 360 is in good shape right now. Microsoft is saying things publicly like "The 360 is not for gaming, it's for general entertainment," releasing very few exclusives, is upping the cost of gold subscriptions, and seems completely focused on catering to casuals. At this point I really am thinking about selling my xbox. The only thing that's convincing me to keep it are the awesome past-exclusives like Deadly Premonition, Tale of Vesperia, Lost Odyssey, and the XBLA games coming out this year.
Not that Sony doesn't have its problems: the hacking thing could be a big deal (it's made MW2 practically unplayable from what I've heard), for some reason they've decided to focus on the PSP2 which is retarded as their console business is finally starting to get back on track, and Move hasn't enjoyed the same level of success as Kinect.
I get that you guys are entitled to your opinions, and my posts are not an attempt of depriving you of those. However, I do feel some of what you stated on the show is factually incorrect. Little Big Planet 2 is not a "niche" game -- quite the opposite, everyone I know loves it from my 4 year old niece, to my teenage brothers, and even my father.
You guys kept saying that Sony doesn't have any "system sellers" with the exception of both Killzone 3 and Uncharted 3, however, there are 2 games on 360 coming out this year that are exclusive core games: Gears of War 3 and Forza 4. Of those, Gears of War 3 has mass market appeal and the racing genre in general seems to be suffering from massive contraction (if the performance of Split Second and Blur are any indication). I suppose Dance Central 2 could be seen as a system seller, but considering how recently the original came out that does not seem likely. So, how is Microsoft in any better shape?
2011 is shaping up to be a hard year for Microsoft. The Launch of the 3DS is going to suck a lot of cash out of the system, their Kinect momentum is dying, there's no way the newly redesigned hardware is going to see a price drop anytime soon, and the slim's effect on hardware sales is going to be over halfway through the year. Combine that with a lack of exclusives and more multiplats selling on the PS3, and I don't know how you can think this year is gonna be kinder to Microsoft than Sony. That isn't to say Microsoft is going to be doing bad by any stretch of the imagination.
I predict they'll continue to edge PS3 out in multiplat sales, and the Kinect will continue to cater to casuals with great success. I just don't think it's the console that is going to be better for core gamers this year, unlike how 2005, 2006, 2007, and 2008 unquestionably were better for Microsoft (and I think you could make an argument that 2010 was as well).
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