Castro is Dead or Dying?

mykevermin

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August 1, 2006
Exiles in Miami Rejoice After Castro Cedes Presidency
By TERRY AGUAYO and CHRISTINE HAUSER

MIAMI, Aug. 1 — Cuban exiles reacted with exuberance at the news that Fidel Castro had temporarily ceded power to his brother late Monday night, taking to the streets, dancing and honking their car horns in celebration that decades of authoritarian control in Cuba was coming to an end.

But today, the initial joy turned mostly to uncertainty as Cubans paused and considered the unanswered questions: why did Mr. Castro himself not appear to announce his illness? Was he alive or dead? What would the future bring for families with loved ones in Cuban prisons, or for those with executed relatives in the grave?

These and other questions were discussed today over strong Cuban coffee at the Versailles, a popular street side cafe in Miami’s Little Havana. On normal days, the Versailles bustles with activity along busy Eighth Street, or Calle Ocho, as it is known to exiles.

“Oh my God, this is really something!” said Felipe Mendez, 69, who left Cuba in 1980. “We are all waiting to see what is going to happen,” he said. “I am afraid it will be a while before we know. But we are excited to know something drastic may be happening.”

A statement read on Cuban television, and today posted on Web sites, said that Mr. Castro had turned over power to his brother after his health “was subjected to extreme stress and broke down.”

The statement, published in English today on the Miami Herald Web site, said that the incident provoked an “acute intestinal crisis with sustained bleeding that obliged me to face a complicated surgical operation.”

Mr. Castro himself did not appear on the broadcast, a detail that many here thought was unusual, saying that in the past he has personally announced issues about his health. It marked the first time that Mr. Castro, who is almost 80, had relinquished power in 47 years of rule.

Mr. Castro handed power to his brother, Raul Castro, who is been the constitutional successor.

At the Versailles, Cubans came and went, sipping coffee, listening to the speculation and sharing their thoughts. Some had hopes for the future, others remembered relatives and friends oppressed or executed. Many speculated that Mr. Castro was already dead and that the authorities wanted time to prepare people for the loss in a slow transition.

Many of those gathered at Versailles today had made the escape, like thousands before and after them, from Cuba across the Florida Straits to the Florida shores. The exodus has made south Florida the place with the largest population of Cuban exiles. More than 833,000 Cubans live in Florida, most of them in Miami-Dade county, according to a 2000 census.At the Versailles, Mario Valle, 66, a retired business owner who came from Cuba in 1973, said Cuban exiles have been waiting for the news for a “very, very, very long time.”

“I thought I was going to die last night,” he said. “There is no other solution for Cuba other than Fidel’s death.”

For those born in Miami, the events had resonance through the generations. “It means a lot to my family,” said Christian Lopez, a 23-year old man who was born in Miami to exiled parents. “I have been waiting for this my whole life.”

Like others, Mr. Lopez surmised that Mr. Castro was either dead or dying “but they are not ready to make it public.”

Many were cautiously optimistic.

“I am taking it with a grain of salt,” said Marcos Gonzalez, 60. “It is not a final thing yet but it may be the beginning of the end.”

In Cuba itself, many kept up a brave face. Musicians kept playing for foreign tourists at outdoor cafes and signs put up on the plaza’s colonial buildings during the recent Cuban holiday said, “Live on Fidel, for 80 more,’’ according to The Associated Press.

A transfer of power to Mr. Castro’s brother Raul, the defense minister, does not mean that Cuba is on the brink of change.

“It is certain that their plan is for there to be a transfer from one dictator to another,” Sen. Mel Martinez of Florida said in a television interview. “I hope the voices of freedom will come forward.”

In Miami, Cubans exiles live in a tight community. Many have left family members behind, started from scratch in the United States, or had friends or family executed or imprisoned for speaking up against the government. Some have not seen family members for 40 years.

Monica Suarez, a 57-year old housewife, who came to the United States from Cuba 32 years ago, said she hoped dark days under Mr. Castro, one of the world’s longest running rulers, were soon over. “You can only expect us to celebrate,” she said. “He has been a tyrant who has oppressed our people for 47 years.”

Terry Aguayo reported from Miami for this article and Christine Hauser from New York.

http://www.nytimes.com/2006/08/01/w...=1154491200&partner=homepage&pagewanted=print

The man no president seemed to be able to touch finally is *thisclose* to meeting his maker. Thoughts? Anyone know enough about Cuban history/culture to explain why there would be optimism that things would change with his brother in power?
 
[quote name='mykevermin'] Anyone know enough about Cuban history/culture to explain why there would be optimism that things would change with his brother in power?[/QUOTE]

I was wondering the same thing when I was watching the news late last night (MSNBC I think). They were talking about how the power is transfered to his brother, someone even mentioned how lately the brother has used the military to his will more than Fidel himself did in the later years. Still, I guess if the man responible for the oppresion and possible deaths of you, your family, and friends is dead that would maybe give you a little hope, but the next oppresser is seemingly just waiting on the sidelines to jump in the game doesn't seem to lend to much optimism. The only thing I could think of last night was that in theory maybe some people in the government who were loyal to Castro dislike his brohter enough to try and change things, but like you say maybe someone with a better understanding of situation (I admittedly know very, very littleof it)could enlighten us.
 
[quote name='mykevermin']

The man no president seemed to be able to touch finally is *thisclose* to meeting his maker. Thoughts? Anyone know enough about Cuban history/culture to explain why there would be optimism that things would change with his brother in power?[/QUOTE]

I think the optimism comes mostly from ignorance of the situation. Their rational is, "Hey, he can't be any worse than Fidel, right?" His brother is supposedly even further to the left, but really, does it matter to anyone outside of southern Florida?

I can see some sort of pride or nostalgia tied to Castro, especially among other developing countries. The man commands huge respect throughout the world, again, especially in the "third world", but most of it is nostalgia. Since 1991, really since the Nixon era, know one in the upper-echelons of the United States has put much thought towards Castro. They knew he would die one of these centuries, but it was just a matter of which one.

Overall, Castro will be seen as the guy who stood up to American hegemony and sort of won. But when the files are finally open, as we now know when it came to the Cuban Missile Crisis, Castro had little to any power when he was hanging out with the big dogs, and he was nothing more than a thorn in the United States' side.
 
I'm sure the hope among Cubans is that they will have something similar happen to what happened in Spain after Franco died.
 
[quote name='mykevermin'] Anyone know enough about Cuban history/culture to explain why there would be optimism that things would change with his brother in power?[/QUOTE]

The big reason that things may change has a lot more to do with the US than with Castro's actual policies: The US has long had a very firm policy that it absolutely, positively will NOT deal with Cuba as long as Castro is in power. The reasons for the embargo pretty much stopped making any sense a couple of decades ago: we trade quite freely with China, and their crimes are a thousand times worse than anything Castro has ever done. The only reason that the embargo is still going on is because of stubborn pride (on both sides.)

Even if Castro's successor doesn't change a single policy, odds are quite high that Castro's death/retirement will give the US the justification that it needs to reconsider its economic policy towards Cuba. The embargo will almost certainly be at least partially lifted quite rapidly, and will probably be completely scrapped with a decade or two. For Cuba, this means a massive boost to its economy, from its world-famous cigars as well as tourism (Cuba was once a MASSIVE tourist destination for US citizens, what with the tropical weather and beautiful beaches. The lifting of travel restrictions will amost certainly result in the building of massive hotel resorts on the island.)
 
Cuba is fucking *BEAUTIFUL* from what I've seen of it, and I'd love to be able to travel there the way my grandparents and mother did when she was young (mid 1950's at the latest).
 
[quote name='Drocket'] For Cuba, this means a massive boost to its economy, from its world-famous cigars as well as tourism (Cuba was once a MASSIVE tourist destination for US citizens, what with the tropical weather and beautiful beaches. The lifting of travel restrictions will amost certainly result in the building of massive hotel resorts on the island.)[/QUOTE]

It wasn't that it was just a tourist destination. The United States practically owned Cuba. Look at things like the Platt Amendment after the Spanish-American War, and the casinos owned by mobsters (have you not seen the Godfather Part II?), and most importantly the way Batista was a yes-man to the United States. The hotels and casinos are going to bring back and ad hoc neo-colonialism that was in place pre-1959.
 
[quote name='munch']I think the optimism comes mostly from ignorance of the situation. Their rational is, "Hey, he can't be any worse than Fidel, right?" His brother is supposedly even further to the left, but really, does it matter to anyone outside of southern Florida?
[/QUOTE]

They thought Fidel was bad, wait until Raul gets ahold of things. The exiles are grasping at straws, really.
 
as someone who use to live in Miami, FL , I would hear so much shit about Castro from the heavy cuban population in that area..... Once that guy dies, everyone with a boat is going to go to that island and pick up there families and take them back here.

Same with people down there... there is going to be a mass exiodious from that island and the cuban population of south florida will explode :whistle2:O
 
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