I wonder if preorders will be taxed if I make them before the 15th. Hmm.
It probably comes down to when it actually ships, or when the charge goes through since Amazon waits until it does.
There are some potential positives that could come with Amazon being forced to collect tax in all 50 states. They have done a lot to avoid a physical presence in a lot of places, and when they do they just have a warehouse. If they are no longer able to avoid the collecting of sales tax, they will probably become an even better business. They will probably have warehouses in all 50 states so shipping times will be faster. They may even venture into retail space.
They have had a HUGE competitive advantage because of sales tax. But they no longer need it because they have grown their brand and reputation so strongly. I think some of their strategies will change if sales tax collection avoidance is off the table.
Also, OP's assertion that Amazon just talks big and does nothing about it is just flat out wrong. They have heavily litigated the Consitutionality of these state laws.
A tax-free internet was once a way to make internet commerce competitive. Now that businesses like Amazon are off the ground and running, the law will level it completely. A bit too drastic in my opinion but I don't get to write the laws. A real shame, that.
Of course, we technically all should have been paying sales tax in the form of http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Use_tax on state income taxes anyway...
No one likes to talk about it but, yes. We should. I do. But I won't claim to have been 100% perfect in accuracy with mine. And no one else should either because that shit is hard!