Lili, on paper, is a bad investment for a reseller. That said it's fairly low print and it seems the very low print games are the ones that tend to have the most value. Sort of like Breach & Clear.
Breach and Clear didn't have much re-sale value at all initially. Its second-hand price didn't start going up until later, after LRG had made a name for itself and some collectors started gunning for a complete collection. It was also a little-known game from an unknown developer. Lili is in a similar situation. As such, its value for short-term flippers is very poor. It might get a little bit of a boost from the reputation of LRG, and the interest of hard-core completionist collectors, but that's it. Flippers should avoid it if they know what's good for them.
Speculators are a different matter. As with Breach and Clear, its entirely possible that the long-term second-hand price of Lili will go up. A year from now, it could be worth a lot more. If the game is able to get more exposure, or gets a sequel, or the developer release another game that gets more attention, the circumstances will change. And these changes could drastically alter the long-term demand for a game with an extremely finite physical supply.
Again, all of this is moot to me, little more than an analytical exercise. I don't sell, I collect.
- JoshTX likes this