Cheapy, Wombat, Michael P.,
Are either of you worried about MS totally dominating this generation? I am no anarchist, communist, nor anti-MS, I am somewhat of a capitalist to be honest. But I am concerned what will happen if 360 wins this generation by a large margin.
PS2 won last gen by a landslide. PS2 was basically keep Sony afloat. On the other hand if MS wins this gen by a landslide, they will have billions pouring in from multiple streams, something sony didn't have. In fact many quarters, gaming was the only sony division in the black. Their ability to buy exclusives and set any price they want would be unprecedented.
I really feel that this is where we are headed. When ever a multi-platform game is advertized on TV (Madden, Stranglehold come to mind), they always show the 360 version, and people using 360 controllers. I believe 'the sheep' interpret this to mean they need a 360 to play. (Remember, knowledgable hardcores may be vocal, but are a minority). Hardcores tend to be more influence by the internet comments, and review scores. 'Regular Joes' are more influenced by TV, and their hardcore friends who have already purchased. Becuase many more 360's have already been purchased, and TV advertising, I am worried that 360 will really start to pull away.
I know of a handful of people who went and bought a 360 because they wanted a 'gamer' system. The PS3 wasn't even an option for them, as $549 is a long ways away from $399 (Canadian prices, though dollar is currently on par). There are arguments that like free online, wireless, blu-ray, which can sway the price argument, but most consumers don't see that way. Bottom line is that they are playing a next-gen game for $150 less. I suspect people are having this thought process all the time, all over the world. And it will continue unless Sony gets their heads out of their ass.
North american leagues seem eager to sell exclusive licenses to their leagues. What if they starting licensing their stuff to just one console? Would the cost of playing on Live still be $70/year if there were no competition, like the free PSN. Yeah, I know psn lacks some features, but mainly it lacks Live's numbers.
I don't really know why, but I fear an MS monopoly much more than a Sony monopoly. Comments? PS, I would love to hear M. Pachter's comments on this; Have you considered this scenario? Is it likely? Would it be bad for the consumer? Do you think the pubilc cares? I dream of a 50/50 split of the hardcore market.
Thanks,
~S
ps - I leave Wii out of this discussion, as the average Wii owner buys little software, and really are competing for a different market, IMHO.