It's not exactly the same as a console, but look at Sony's recent 3D gaming monitor. It literally went from $500 to $400 to $300 in a little over a month! Once again, that product has some great new tech in it, but they've done virtually nothing to advertise or support those features, so it's bombed pretty hard. I could definitely see something similar happening with the Vita.
I personally haven't seen any hype about it in any of the retail stores around here, nor on TV, and I honestly can't name more than about 5 people who even know about it, and none of those folks plan on getting it (one is a Sony loyalist, to boot).
I would love to have it, because I'm a sucker for getting the newest stuff, and it seems to have some real power, but with a console-level cost, ridiculously expensive proprietary memory, no remote play (as of yet), and no must have games (in my opinion; not really into the Uncharted series), I'm going to hold of on a release date purchase, just like I did with the 3DS (hell, I still don't even have one). I don't want feel burned if it drops within a few months, and I've hardly used the thing, waiting on more games to come out, or more features to go live.
Of course I think it's ridiculous that they would totally drop support for the console in 9 months, but I could definitely see some major price reductions and/or bundling in that time period.
