[quote name='ShadowAssassin']Even if it is selling bad, it is not going to drop by 50% or more in price "soon"(whatever soon means).[/QUOTE]
I could see the base model being $200 somewhere before 2014. Maybe not MSRP, but you'll be able to buy a new one for that during a sale or something. Like someone said in here, the availability of this console immediately after it's launch is putting a negative perception in my eyes, and after people see just how much more powerful the "Xbox 720" (always hated that name) and the PS4 will be, it'll sell even worse.
Not only that, Sony could replicate the Wii U tablet idea with the Vita (as well as the Move), and Microsoft has their own unique control scheme with the Kinect. I think Nintendo missed the mark, and I'd be shocked if they recapture the casual market like they did with the Wii, since most of the households that bought one have it collecting dust right now.