[quote name='Grave_Addiction'][quote name='Danimal']I tend to agree with the people who say Sony will stay on top in the next generation, but I think Microsoft will gain some ground. I kind of see it as a two horse race, with Nintendo falling even further behind. Don't get me wrong- I'm not rooting for that. I'd love nothing more than to see a tight three-way race for the top, because that kind of competition can only be good for the quality of games that come out for each system.
It just seems that Nintendo still think they're the industry leader and can do whatever the hell they want. The N64 was cartridge-based, when that era was clearly over. The GC uses those mini-discs while PS2 and XBox can both play DVDs. To me, those things signal an arrogance that is no longer justified. I'm not bashing their games, or the GC, just their business practices. They preach "quality over quantity", but Sony has both. (I don't have an XBox, so can't speak on their games quality)
I don't see any of that changing in the next generation. The PS3 will lead the way because most PS2 owners will also be PS3 owners. Microsoft seems to "get it" more than Nintendo, so they'll gain some ground, while Nintendo loses more ground. I hope I'm wrong about the big N, but I don't think I am.[/quote]
You just about wrote everything I was going to say. Good post.
Nintendo
I don't think Nintendo is getting what the mass-majority of people want. I really don't think most people are going to be interested in playing another Mario, Pikman or Animal Crossing game.
Let's face it, we have grown up playing these classic Nintendo games, but we have grown up. A lot of us are more interested in playing more mature games. And no matter what Nintendo is saying, I just don't see them solving this like they should.
The next generation will be much like this one for Nintendo, I think. They will rely too much on their established brands, and not try to get third-parties to release games on their system. They are much too arrogant. And in the end, I think this will be a rehash of what's happened with the Gamecube.
Microsoft
I really expect big things from Microsoft. But for them to have any hope of beating Sony, I think they are going to have to hit the gate running.
They will definitely need several must-have games. I'm thinking they need to have a Halo sequel, some sort of MMORPG, several nice action titles (i.e. Ninja Gaiden, GTA) and some other good games from all genres.
Also, they will have to have online play implemented from the get-go. We shouldn't have to wait a year or more for Live to be set up this time, so I'm hoping for some nice online titles to be waiting there come launch day.
It would also do them good to have backwards compatibility.
I really can't say for sure if the Xbox2 will be able to overpower the PS3, but it will definitely give it a run for its money.
Sony
As always, Sony is going to get their share of professional sports players, rappers and millions of kids who buy the system because everyone else is.
Also, developers and publishers will bring their games to the PS3 because they know it is the safest console to do so. In an economy like this, these companies can't afford to take risks like they were in the past, so they will be looking to bring their games to the PS3.
The PS3 has great things going for it, but I'm afraid if Sony releases it very much later than the Xbox2, it will be playing catch up for a long time.
To me, this move would signal that they believe they can overcome any move by their competitors, but I don't fully know if that is true.
Microsoft is building some strong consumer support and that will transfer over when they launch the new console. Can you imagine how much of a headstart Microsoft will get if they have those killer apps and they have a year before Sony releases its console?
In the end, I think this will be a race between Sony and Microsoft. Also, I think this will most likely be Nintendo's last console, unfortunately.[/quote]
The text I highlighted above is what I was trying to get across in my previous three posts on this thread. Alot of non-hardcore gamers buy the PS2 because that's the cool thing to do, right?