Solyndra-Gate

If it was started under the Bush administration, I'm pretty sure the Obama administration would've come out and said that already.
 
[quote name='UncleBob']http://www.cheapassgamer.com/forums/showpost.php?p=8861441&postcount=16[/QUOTE]

The Obama administration restructured a half-billion dollar federal loan to a troubled solar energy company in such a way that private investors — including a fundraiser for President Barack Obama — moved ahead of taxpayers for repayment in case of a default, government records show.

...

[quote name='speedracer']If the people that did the restructured loan end up with a fat profit (the loan < accounts receivable + inventory on hand), then whoever made that decision for the government should be marched up the hill to explain why. Anyone lower than Chu and I'd just fire them straight away.

But that BI article I quoted yesterday said there was ~$55 million total (~$4mil AR and ~$50mil inventory) and only mentioned a $4mil bridge loan. Bob's article says the emergency loan was for $69 million. So it doesn't look like there will be a fat profit there. In fact it looks like a healthy loss, though I'm sure they'll find some way to cover. But that totally changes the game. Now it makes sense to form a company to hold your assets in escrow. The whole story I posted yesterday stops being criminal and starts being good business if Bob's link's loan amount is right. [/quote]

...

[quote name='speedracer']
"If their model was weak to begin with, and then the market gets worse, doesn't that mean that maybe we should have just not thrown good money after bad?" asked Rep. Morgan Griffith, R-Va. "Because now we're in a worse position in the bankruptcy courts to get our money back."
Well Rep. Griffith, they would have sold their inventory before declaring bankruptcy and used the money to extend operations. So actually what the DOE did was convince someone else to throw in good money. Giving up seniority in debt positioning isn't a problem WHEN THERE'S NO MONEY TO GET DUMBASS.

And the rest sounds like politics.

This thing turns on whether the guys that make the loan make a shit ton of money. If they loan $70mil and walk away with $100mi+, yea, someone needs to get fired. Otherwise this is much ado about nothing. Crony capitalism doesn't work unless people are getting paid. If I was trying to hook up a contributor, I sure as fuck wouldn't leave it up to a bankruptcy judge to decide. [/quote]
And?

C'mon man. At least pretend to read the thread.
 
And speaking of not news. Look who's probably going to be putting in a monstrous order for turbines:
Canada’s hydropower industry has plans to invest up to $70 billion on hydro-electric projects across the country in the next 10 to 15 years, increasing its hydro-electric resources – to a truly staggering 88,500 MW.

Most of the additional projects are in provinces with abundant precipitation that is likely to increase in a warming future, making them ideal for hydropower. Hydro-electric power is much cleaner in cold climates than in warm ones, because methane emissions that are caused by rotting vegetation are lower in colder climates. Quebec is building another 4,570 MW, British Columbia: 3,341 MW, Labrador: 3,074 MW and Manitoba: 2,380 MW.

Hydro is a good partner with the increasing amounts of renewable power being added to the grid. Because hydro can be turned on and off almost instantaneously, it is an ideal partner with solar and wind, “filling in the gaps from intermittent sources,” says Jacob Irving, head of the Canadian Hydropower Association.

Much of the new clean power is for exporting to the US – at least initially. “Each terawatt hour of hydro exported to the United States largely replaces fossil fuel generation,” says Irving. In Canada, only 19% of power comes from coal, so exporting it to the dirtier US grid will have more effect on global greenhouse gas emissions. Current hydropower exports to the US already reduce continental greenhouse gas emissions by at least half a million tons annually, he says.

The exciting results of some timely research funded by the Department of Energy into a more environmentally friendly turbine for hydro-electricity comes at a time when hydro-electricity is getting a fresh look, and the EPA is beginning the process of retiring the oldest and dirtiest coal power stations on the grid.
Timely research indeed.
 
Okay, so this guy and his friends have a lot of money invested into a company.

The company gets $500 Million in government loans.

The company tries to get more loans and has no luck.

This guy and his friends then put some of their own money into the failing company.

The government then reworked the loan so that the guy and his friend's money gets paid back before taxpayers.

Company then waits until November 3rd (i.e.: day after elections) to announce layoffs.

Completely unrelated, guy happened to be a major donor to the President's campaign.

I can totally see how this is 100% on the up-and-up.
 
[quote name='speedracer']And speaking of not news. Look who's probably going to be putting in a monstrous order for turbines:

Timely research indeed.[/QUOTE]

Why worry about it now when we can worry about it later?
 
[quote name='UncleBob']The government then reworked the loan so that the guy and his friend's money gets paid back before taxpayers.[/quote]
[quote name='speedracer']Giving up seniority in debt positioning isn't a problem WHEN THERE'S NO MONEY TO GET DUMBASS.[/quote]
...
[quote name='UncleBob']Company then waits until November 3rd (i.e.: day after elections) to announce layoffs.[/quote]
Politician does something politically expedient. News at 11.
...
[quote name='UncleBob']Completely unrelated, guy happened to be a major donor to the President's campaign.[/quote]
[quote name='speedracer']If I was trying to hook up a contributor, I sure as fuck wouldn't leave it up to a bankruptcy judge to decide. [/quote]
 
[quote name='UncleBob']So... how much is going to come from selling off Solydra assets?[/QUOTE]

are-you-serious-rage-face-240x180.jpg


[quote name='speedracer']If the people that did the restructured loan end up with a fat profit (the loan < accounts receivable + inventory on hand), then whoever made that decision for the government should be marched up the hill to explain why. Anyone lower than Chu and I'd just fire them straight away.

But that BI article I quoted yesterday said there was ~$55 million total (~$4mil AR and ~$50mil inventory) and only mentioned a $4mil bridge loan. Bob's article says the emergency loan was for $69 million. So it doesn't look like there will be a fat profit there. In fact it looks like a healthy loss, though I'm sure they'll find some way to cover. But that totally changes the game. Now it makes sense to form a company to hold your assets in escrow. The whole story I posted yesterday stops being criminal and starts being good business if Bob's link's loan amount is right.

This thing turns on whether the guys that make the loan make a shit ton of money. If they loan $70mil and walk away with $100mi+, yea, someone needs to get fired. Otherwise this is much ado about nothing. Crony capitalism doesn't work unless people are getting paid. If I was trying to hook up a contributor, I sure as fuck wouldn't leave it up to a bankruptcy judge to decide. [/QUOTE]
 
[quote name='speedracer']And speaking of not news. Look who's probably going to be putting in a monstrous order for turbines:

Timely research indeed.[/QUOTE]
How does rotting vegetation releasing methane have any effect on whether hydro-electric power is cleaner or not?
 
[quote name='UncleBob']I see a lot of speculation in that post - but not a lot of actual numbers.

http://www.tulsaworld.com/business/article.aspx?subjectid=49&articleid=20111108_49_E2_Solynd662822[/QUOTE]
Yer killin me smalls.

The "new" loan was secured with accounts receivable (AR) and inventory. Nothing else matters because they become unsecured creditors beyond that point and would take a junior position to bond holders. Your link says they have $850m in assets but that's costed as if they were "true" assets, not bankruptcy assets. Assets in bankruptcy go for 40-50 cents on the dollar at best. So we can reasonably assume their bankruptcy assets will be in the neighborhood of ~$425m, against ~$875m in debt. They loaned Solyndra (based on your link earlier) ~$70m and secured it with ~$55m in assets. They will have ~$15m debt outstanding and be an unsecured creditor with a senior position only against government claims. In real terms, they will be fighting bond holders with senior position over the bankruptcy leftovers.

As an unsecured creditor to another party, I can tell you that unsecured creditors get paid roughly never.

You're trying to make the case that an Obama supporter got hooked up, but the data just doesn't bear that out.
 
[quote name='Clak']How does rotting vegetation releasing methane have any effect on whether hydro-electric power is cleaner or not?[/QUOTE]
They use a total life cycle cost accounting which includes all externalities. Rotting vegetation occurs that would not occur if they had not put in a dam, therefore it must be accounted for.

I dream of a world where everyone uses full externality cost accounting, but then capitalism as we know it would cease to exist because all the money is in externalities. Oil/coal based production would cease to exist the next day, literally, because it would no longer be profitable. The best (ie most profitable) businesses are the ones where you can offload your costs on others, like smoke wafting away from a smokestack or oil spills into a large body of water where no one will find it.
 
I wish I understood accounting better, but that shit makes my head hurt. I could seriously have an easier time studying physics.
 
[quote name='Clak']I wish I understood accounting better, but that shit makes my head hurt. I could seriously have an easier time studying physics.[/QUOTE]
It's super intimidating but ridiculously easy. Just leave the math to the actuarial mathematicians and let's just assume we already know all the numbers, because we do. For example, we already know that it costs $X in health care per person in surrounding communities for every coal burning plant because the health insurance companies need to know it as a matter of existing. They'll lose money on that community otherwise, right?

So every function has an output. A coal factory burns coal and outputs smoke and power. They love power because they can sell it but they hate smoke because it costs money to clean up. If they were to pay out of pocket to cover the "cost" of the smoke, the total (or fully "accounting" for the cost) would almost certainly be more than the money they make off the power. What's a coal company to do?

They just ignore then cost of the smoke and offload that cost to those around them. Or in accounting terms, they don't cost the externalities.

Or an oil company drills for oil in the gulf. They have a *potential* external liability (externality cost) if their oil rig burns up and the well leaks a bazillion gallons. Rather than accounting for that potential cost they just ignore it. Since the catastrophe potential, the externality potential is so huge, no right minded person accounting for that would ever let it happen. But there's money to be made, so they just ignore it.

Externalities aren't just negative though. Vaccinations have a positive externality effect due to the "herd" being protected. So when I vaccinate my little spawn, I decrease the chance that disease will take hold in my community. Therefore there is a net positive greater than the protection of my individual brat.

Hope that helped and I'm not just rambling.

I had a professor in college whose research was in the total life cycle cost of doing business. Naturally, he wasn't garnering much interest from private sources for funding.

To bring this all back around, the government (according to liberals like myself) has a duty to impose costs on those that produce negative externalities and to support those that produce positive externalities because the market specifically doesn't. If the market forced coal to pay for itself, there would be no coal. But since it doesn't, coal has a built in subsidy, a price it doesn't have to pay because it's not forced to. It's worth probably hundreds of billions of dollars a year or more to energy companies. Therefore, the government says hey, let's put some money towards those with positive externalities to help offset what the market cannot do itself because the market here is not fair.

So the government starts a clean energy loan guarantee program. And a half bil goes to shit and Republicans freak out and pretend its a big deal. And everyone pretends the dirty energy negative cost externalities don't exist, which is an underhanded way of giving them 100s of times the amount of money Solyndra screwed up. And then they bleat about the free market as if dirty energy is a free and fully costed market. And I read it or listen to it and make this face.

are-you-serious-rage-face-240x180.jpg


And I make threads called: The libertarian's guide to externality costing. What do we do about the oil spill?

edit: Oh look. Externalities.
The Environmental Protection Agency has taken tough enforcement action against a copper smelter in Arizona that has drawn complaints about toxic pollution for years. The unpublicized "finding of violation" issued against the Asarco copper smelter in Hayden, Ariz., claims the company has been continuously emitting illegal amounts of lead, arsenic and eight other dangerous compounds for six years.
 
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[quote name='speedracer']It's super intimidating but ridiculously easy. Just leave the math to the actuarial mathematicians and let's just assume we already know all the numbers, because we do. For example, we already know that it costs $X in health care per person in surrounding communities for every coal burning plant because the health insurance companies need to know it as a matter of existing. They'll lose money on that community otherwise, right?

So every function has an output. A coal factory burns coal and outputs smoke and power. They love power because they can sell it but they hate smoke because it costs money to clean up. If they were to pay out of pocket to cover the "cost" of the smoke, the total (or fully "accounting" for the cost) would almost certainly be more than the money they make off the power. What's a coal company to do?

They just ignore then cost of the smoke and offload that cost to those around them. Or in accounting terms, they don't cost the externalities.

Or an oil company drills for oil in the gulf. They have a *potential* external liability (externality cost) if their oil rig burns up and the well leaks a bazillion gallons. Rather than accounting for that potential cost they just ignore it. Since the catastrophe potential, the externality potential is so huge, no right minded person accounting for that would ever let it happen. But there's money to be made, so they just ignore it.

Externalities aren't just negative though. Vaccinations have a positive externality effect due to the "herd" being protected. So when I vaccinate my little spawn, I decrease the chance that disease will take hold in my community. Therefore there is a net positive greater than the protection of my individual brat.

Hope that helped and I'm not just rambling.

I had a professor in college whose research was in the total life cycle cost of doing business. Naturally, he wasn't garnering much interest from private sources for funding.

To bring this all back around, the government (according to liberals like myself) has a duty to impose costs on those that produce negative externalities and to support those that produce positive externalities because the market specifically doesn't. If the market forced coal to pay for itself, there would be no coal. But since it doesn't, coal has a built in subsidy, a price it doesn't have to pay because it's not forced to. It's worth probably hundreds of billions of dollars a year or more to energy companies. Therefore, the government says hey, let's put some money towards those with positive externalities to help offset what the market cannot do itself because the market here is not fair.

So the government starts a clean energy loan guarantee program. And a half bil goes to shit and Republicans freak out and pretend its a big deal. And everyone pretends the dirty energy negative cost externalities don't exist, which is an underhanded way of giving them 100s of times the amount of money Solyndra screwed up. And then they bleat about the free market as if dirty energy is a free and fully costed market. And I read it or listen to it and make this face.

are-you-serious-rage-face-240x180.jpg


And I make threads called: The libertarian's guide to externality costing. What do we do about the oil spill?

edit: Oh look. Externalities.[/QUOTE]
I actually understand externalities, I was actually referring to the post before that one you made. When you start getting into assets and liabilities and different account types, my eyes just cross. And I had two basic accounting classes in college, needless to say I didn't enjoy them.
 
[quote name='speedracer']Yer killin me smalls.[/QUOTE]

57644c79aa4daf60.jpg.jpg


Because we really needed the photo of the great Hambino to realize it was him.
 
[quote name='Msut77']Because we really needed the photo of the great Hambino to realize it was him.[/QUOTE]
We seriously need to have a beer sometime.

Oh, and there's this: Clean Energy: Best Documented Rate of Return of ANY Federal Program

The National Academy of Sciences concluded in 2001 that a handful of clean energy technologies returned about $30 billion on an R&D investment of about $400 million. The United States is an amazing venture capitalist when it comes to clean energy R&D.
And they're screaming about 1/2 of 1 billion.

The GAO actually went after the Acadamy of Sciences over the number (Republicans were in charge of Congress) and tried to prove they were lying. They sent the number back for independent verification. Guess how that turned out?
The GAO tried and failed to debunk the report, but the end result was a request to the National Academy of Sciences to independently verify the stated benefits of DOE energy research. The ensuing report Energy Research at DOE: Was It Worth It? Energy Efficiency and Fossil Energy Research 1978 to 2000 was a stunning vindication:

… the report examines 17 R&D programs in energy efficiency and 22 programs in fossil energy funded by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). These programs yielded economic returns of an estimated $40 billion from an investment of $13 billion.

Three energy-efficiency programs, costing approximately $11 million, produced nearly three-quarters of this benefit. Most significant were advances made in compressors for refrigerators and freezers, energy-efficient fluorescent-lighting components called electronic ballasts, and low-emission, or heat-resistant, window glass. Standards and regulations incorporating efficiencies attainable by these new technologies ensured that the technologies would be adopted nationwide, thus dramatically compounding their impact.
It wasn't worth $30 bil. It was worth $40 bil. Oh, and those number don't include costing the use of these technologies against negative externalities. So my fridge that uses less power was accounted for, but not the negative externality of the coal not burned to power it.

So the government funds the breakthrough then gives away the standard, insuring maximum usage by private industry. No messy IP battles.

You have to be insane to argue against this. I don't get it. at. all.

edit: The stupid will never end.
I was holding out on writing yet another Solyndra story, but looks like I’m giving in. Steven Chu, the U.S. Secretary of Energy and a Nobel Prize winner in physics, was hounded by Republican Congressmen for 5 and a half hours, twice as long as BP’s Tony Hayward was grilled in the midst of the Gulf of Mexico oil spill!

“Everybody and their dog at DOE knew who he was and what he was involved in,” Joe Barton of Texas said,.. as if Joe Barton (who apologized to BP for investigations into the BP oil spill) knows what is discussed by staff of the DOE.
Joe Barton. The one that apologized to BP. Jesus.
 
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Occams Razor speed these people are insane albeit ideologically. They have to deny the government can do Anything positive or else their whole world view collapses.
 
Reactions from media in the room during the Solyndra hearing:

Fortune Magazine:
My eyes have glazed over. I’m hungry, dumber than I was this morning and very angry with myself.

Don’t be coy, you know what I’m copping to having done: I spent almost the entire workday watching yet another Congressional hearing on the Solyndra “scandal.”

This is at least the third such hearing, all in a flailing effort by GOP reps to prove that Solyndra wasn’t simply an honest loan gone bad, but rather an example of corruption and self-dealing in the Obama White House. For all the talk about this deal, there still has not yet been any actual evidence — including cherry-picked emails released by the Republican-led committee — that Solyndra received its $535 million government loan because of crony capitalism. And that remains the case, after five hours of testimony from U.S. Energy Secretary Stephen Chu.

Scientific American:
Without any evidence of wrongdoing, the Republican-led hearing drove outside observers to tears. Stop it with the Solyndra nonsense. Just stop it.
 
They'll stop at nothing to make Obama appear as some sort of socialist anti-christ. They'd stand proud on the burning embers of the country they helped destroy, with a smug, self satisfied look on their faces, and say "We told you so".
 
and rebuild it with Rearden Metal!
then again that would be infrastructure investment which is bad so they'll just let it smolder apparently?
 
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[quote name='nasum']and rebuild it with Rearden Metal!
then again that would be infrastructure investment which is bad so they'll just let it smolder apparently?[/QUOTE]
That and it would be a huge paradox for them. They'd want to hire cheap foreign labor from south of the border to rebuild, but then the ratio of brown to white people in the U.S. would be too off for them to handle it.
 
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