The Canadian Election and why you should care (update: Conservatives in)

Mike23

CAGiversary!
The United States in the 2006 Canadian Election
Guest Commentary
December 2005

by: John von Heyking

On December 13th, U. S. Ambassador David Wilkins, a South Carolina Republican, delivered a speech in Ottawa expressing concern about anti-American rhetoric in the Canadian election:

I’ve been on the ballot 13 times. I understand election-year politics. But the last time I checked, the United States was not on your ballot. But think about this: What if one of your best friends criticized you directly and indirectly almost relentlessly? What if that friend’s agenda was to highlight your perceived flaws while avoiding mentioning your successes? Wouldn’t that begin to sow the seeds of doubt in your mind about the strength of your friendship?
He went on to defend the U. S. record on Kyoto and climate change, the Congressional plan to require all foreigners to hold passports when they enter the U. S. (currently Canadians and Americans require any government issued identification with proof of citizenship like a birth certificate), NAFTA rulings concerning softwood lumber, and Iraq.
By now Americans are used to foreign politicians seeking (and obtaining) electoral success by pandering to anti-Americanism. The reelection of Gerhard Schroeder in 2002 was perhaps the most consequential example as it solidified German opposition to the invasion of Iraq.

Recent years have seen an upsurge of anti-American rhetoric by Canadian figures. Among the more notorious examples are comments by former Liberal Party Member of Parliament Carolyn Parrish, who thought the microphones were turned off when she stated, "Damn Americans… I hate those bastards." Later, on national television, she stomped on a George W. Bush doll. As a minor figure who’s now retired from federal politics, Canadians know her for little else. Americans will also remember former Prime Minister Jean Chrétien aide Francine Ducros labeling Bush a "moron." Of course, some Americans have indulged in similar vulgarity when they notice Canada, as exemplified this week when Tucker Carlson referred to Canada as a "retarded cousin."

The Bush Administration seems to have decided to push back at anti-Americanism during elections, as evidenced by Wilkins’s speech. Another example of "push back" may be last month’s surfacing a U.S. nuclear submarine in Canadian waters near the North Pole. Anti-Americanism in Canada is partially fed by the refusal of the Liberal Party to maintain Canada’s military capacities. Canadian elites promote a fantasyland foreign policy enabling them to congratulate themselves for Canada’s powerlessness.

While Canadians have responded to Wilkins’s speech by complaining about American "intervention" and "creeping American conservatism," the timing of the speech suggests it was equally directed toward to the American audience. Just days prior, on December 9th, Paul Martin shared the global stage with Bill Clinton at an international conference on climate change in Montréal. Martin certainly benefited from appearing onstage with Bill Clinton (one rarely hears Canadian nationalists complain about Americans on the left, including Michael Moore and Robin Williams, "intervening" in the election).

A day earlier and anticipating his chance to schmooze with Clinton the following day, Martin could not contain his excitement as he chastised the U. S. for failing to meet Kyoto emissions cut targets:

"To the reticent nations, including the United States, I say there is such a thing as a global conscience, and now is the time to listen to it," Martin told the plenary in Montréal Wednesday.
One can compare Martin’s reference to his "global conscience" as an example of what Thomas Sowell refers to as "self-congratulation as a basis for social policy." Even so, it drew the ire of the Bush Administration, which rightly pointed out that the U. S., while not a signatory to Kyoto, has cut its emissions at a higher rate than Canada. Annoyed at Martin’s self-congratulation as the basis of anti-American electioneering, the administration pointed out his hypocrisy.
While Canadian nationalists have called Wilkins’s speech an effort by the Bush Administration to effect "regime change" in Canada, the truth is that the speech had the immediate effect of boosting Martin and other politicians of the left, while enabling them to label the Conservatives as overly obsequious toward the U. S.

Stephen Harper and the Conservative Party have had to distance themselves from policies appearing too closely aligned to U. S. positions. Shortly after Wilkins’s speech, a speech Harper delivered in 1997 praising the U. S. political system and culture circulated in the press. In it he criticized the Canadian welfare state and the general malaise of Canadian politics.

Since then, Harper published a letter in the Washington Times, responding to an editorial favorably comparing him and the Conservative Party to Republicans, in which he said he does not support sending Canadian troops to Iraq and that the Conservatives would hold a free vote on same-sex marriage (instead of making its prohibition party policy). In response to voter concern over U. S. NAFTA policy toward softwood lumber, Harper also suggested Canada has "probably gone as far in our trading relationship with the Americans as we can," and that his party would have to seek other trading partners to compensate.

While Wilkins’s speech gave Paul Martin a bit of a boost, and the opportunity to please nationalists by mispronouncing the surname of the ambassador, "Williams," it forced Stephen Harper to distinguish his policies from American conservatives, and so pushed the Conservatives toward the left. While Wilkins’s speech may have harmed Harper in the short-term for giving Martin the opportunity to bash the Conservatives for being "too American," the speech may actually help Harper’s Conservatives over the long term. While the speech may not intimidate anyone, it did remind the leaders and the electorate that anti-American campaigning is shameful, which in effect removes it from the election as a legitimate campaign tool.

That requires the parties to demonstrate they can act responsibly toward the United States in a manner appropriate for a sovereign country. The stakes are enormous, given the extent to which Canada relies upon the United States for trade. The speech and its fallout forced the Conservatives to show they can "stand up" to the Americans, while enabling them to maintain their position as the only party with a proven track record of acting responsibly toward the U. S. Harper’s recent critical comments on the United States can be seen as kind of "only Nixon can go to China" moment because only the Conservatives can "stand up" to the U.S. without referring to Americans as "morons."

John von Heyking is an associate professor of political science at the University of Lethbridge in Alberta, Canada.

Interesting article, especially to me. If the conservatives win (and polls are showing they will), expect a lot more support. Troops in Iraq, ballistic missile defense, trade (softwood lumber)

In short, if Stephen Harper wins,
expect George Bush-lite.

UPDATE: Cons got a weak minority government, will fall in the next year. More election-time fun!

Stupid NDP...
 
I just read a poll that puts support for the conservatives at 40%, and the liberals at 27%. It's not even a contest at this point, is it?
 
Well the conservatives were ahead by a decent amount last time and still lost. But canada is often referred to as the 51st state. Harper does nothing to change that image and probably validates it. Most of the things I like about canada are not embodied by people such as harper.

The only good thing is, if the conservatives win, it likely won't be a 4 year wait like it is here. A lot of it seems to be a desire for something other than the liberals instead of actual support for the conservative party.
 
[quote name='mykevermin']I just read a poll that puts support for the conservatives at 40%, and the liberals at 27%. It's not even a contest at this point, is it?[/QUOTE]

It was likely a conservative poll. ;)

It's looking probable that the conservatives will form government. We just hope (and pray) that it will be a minority, to keep them in check.
 
I'm not up with my Canadian politics. Are the Canadian conservatives anything like American neo-conservatives?
 
I was satisfied before, because I could pronounce "Martin," and admittedly had a difficult time with "Chretien." I'm not certain that I look forward to "Harper."

Could you enlighten us, once you sober up, about what the cause of the conservative shift in Canadian culture might be due to?
 
Massive corruption.

http://www.wsws.org/articles/2005/feb2005/cana-f19.shtml

Note it's from the World Socialist Web Site :rofl:.

I don't attribute it to anything major in a shift of Canadian liberal/conservative ideology but voter disgust with the Liberal party in general.

Canada should and will now be part of the U.S. missile defense program. They would have been anyways due to NORAD treaties but the government will more than likely put an official stamp on it. There's no way we would have let an ICBM aimed at Vancouver, Edmonton, Calgary, Toronto, Ottawa or Montreal not be intercepted. The Liberals though didn't want radars or tracking stations placed on their territory for missles coming over the North Pole. That too will change.

The Canadian military is also suffering greatly under the lack of funding they've been given since the end of the Cold War. In may respects they're behind on what their obligated to cover, responsibility wise, under the NATO agreements. They may have the manpower but they don't have the equipment and their training hours are dangerously low. It costs quite a bit of money to take out your Lepard tanks, F-18's and the like to maintain proficency.

Pilots love to fly, tankers love to drive and shoot stuff. Those things aren't cheap and if you don't do it enough from a practice standpoint you're going to get your asses handed to you in combat.
 
[quote name='mykevermin']I was satisfied before, because I could pronounce "Martin," and admittedly had a difficult time with "Chretien." I'm not certain that I look forward to "Harper."

Could you enlighten us, once you sober up, about what the cause of the conservative shift in Canadian culture might be due to?[/QUOTE]

The people seemingly wanted a change from 12 years of Liberal power. They had scandals that weren't dealt with (for some people; I was satisfied). All credit to Stephen Harper though, despite my disagreements with his beliefs, he ran an airtight campaign despite peaking a week early) and convinced Canada he was a moderate.

His minority government is extremely weak though, and I doubt he'll find much consensus on any of the issues he campaigned on: stuff like a free vote on same-sex marriage's legality, $1200 in subsidies for daycare, the entering of Canada into BMD.

People have taken to calling him George Bush-lite or III, and statements like this don't help:

[quote name='Stephen Harper']Canada appears content to become a second-tier socialistic country, boasting ever more loudly about its economy and social services to mask its second-rate status[/QUOTE]

In speaking of the Iraq War:

[quote name='Stephen Harper']It was probably not an appropriate term, but we support the war effort and believe we should be supporting our troops and our allies and be there with them doing everything necessary to win[/QUOTE]

It's clear that these are not the views of a moderate. Canada wanted change, and Stephen Harper provided it, for better or for worse.
 
[quote name='PittsburghAfterDark']Massive corruption.[/QUOTE]

What's rather funny is that the primary thing that brought down the liberal party in Canada was $100M in contracts that were given to a few companies associated with a high-ranking liberal politician, which at the very least gave the appearance of a conflict of interest. So, HOW much has Halliburton made from government contracts under the Bush/Cheney administration now?

Anyway, as was already said, this doesn't signal much of a real change in Canadas policies. The conservatives are still very much in the minority, since Canada has multiple parties, pretty much all of which are rather liberal. The Conservatives simply aren't going to be able to get anything of importance done, with regards to their agenda.

Actually, this is probably a good example of why the parlimentary system is a pretty good idea. Here in the US, a party gets 50.1% of the vote and basically declare themselves Lord God Over All Creation, and opposition party is pretty much fucked. In a parlimentary system, its much, much harder for any one party to gain meaningful control, which is a serious check on unrestrained power.
 
You have the NDP and the liberals (both liberal) with about 135 seats seats, bloc quebecois with about 50 (quebec separatist) and the conservatives with about 125 (I'm working on memory here, I just know the numbers are in the general area). The popular vote is about 36 con. 30 lib. 17 ndp, 5 green, 10 bloc (quebec only). If it was simply a vote of liberal vs conservative the conservatives wouldn't stand a chance. And that is the good thing, many of the conservative things they'd ideally want to do they can't. This is either because the opposition won't allow them (though the bloc is generally conservative), or because the generally liberals canadian population would oppose it. Remember, one of the scare tactics martin used was that the conservatives would take away same sex unions (not going to happen, but not because the conservative party doesn't want to), and implement other various u.s. style conservative policies. Here the threat is they'll make same sex marriage legal. Mike is right though, this wasn't canada electing a conservative government (which in many ways would be liberal in the u.s.), it was them electing a non liberal party one. I heard a bunch of people on tv (cspan ran the cbc broadcast) saying they were liberals and couldn't imagine ever not voting liberal, but thought they needed a "spanking" (one even used that word). The conservatives were essentially shut out of urban areas, with no wins in toronto, montreal or vancouver. It's essentially a rural government with an urban opposition.

Also, Martin was cleared of involvement in the scandals. That's about the only positive thing though.

On a side note I just found the website bloquequebecois.org. I really wish I could read french, it looks funny.
 
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