DarkonJohn
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I'm probably not the only one here with a large UMD collection, so I was wondering what everyone else thought about the confirmation that the PSP2 will not support UMDs (which has been partly discussed in the PSP2/NGP threads).
To me, this probably means the death of the UMD format in the not too distant future, and a big part of me thinks "And not a moment too soon!". I've always hated the size and fragility of UMDs, so seeing Sony move to a new format is a good change (I just wish they hadn't created UMDs in the first place...one of their most boneheaded moves ever IMO).
All new games that run on the PSP2 will be released in either the new flash card format or as a digital download. And given the ability to release a full PSP1 game (which will run on both the PSP1 and the PSP2) via digial download, there is really no longer any reason for a company to release new games in UMD format. If people want a physical copy, they can buy a PSP2 and buy the game in flash card format. And if they just want the game for their PSP1, they can buy it on PSN in digital format which will also run on the PSP2 when that person upgrades in the future. The number of people that will only buy a new game if it is available on UMD will be VERY small.
However, I wonder if Sony will do the same thing with the PSP1 that they did with the PS2....keep selling it for another couple of years after the release of the PSP2. Most likely they would drop the price of the PSP1 to something like $150 or $129 (down from $179) and bundle in a couple of games (like they did with the PSPgo) while the PSP2 comes out at $299.
This would mirror the successful model of Nintendo with the DSLite and DSi when they removed the Gameboy cartridge support in the DSi and is similar to what Sony did with the PS2 and PS3 (before they pulled PS2 support from the PS3). It also provides 2 price points, one for entry-level gamers with a limited budget and another for high-end customers that demand the best, allowing them to compete against the Nintendo 3DS, DSi and DSLite (if Nintendo doesn't finally phase it out once they start shipping the 3DS).
But no matter how I look at things, I don't see any viable situation where they would continue to release new games on UMD format (at least in any meaningful quantity) once the PSP2 starts shipping. And between now and then, I don't expect many new games to come out on UMD other than those already scheduled because people would rather buy the PSN version which can then be played on the PSP2.
The one positive outcome I see is that if you are willing to buy UMDs for your existing PSP-1000/2000/3000, you'll probably be able to get some pretty good deals on them in the coming months as the start to clear them out.
One interesting thought I had was whether they might come out with a PSP-4000 which would support both UMDs and the new flash card format. This assumes that some PSP1 games would be released on the new flash card format and could be played on both the PSP1 and PSP2, but I don't think this scenario is very likely.
To me, this probably means the death of the UMD format in the not too distant future, and a big part of me thinks "And not a moment too soon!". I've always hated the size and fragility of UMDs, so seeing Sony move to a new format is a good change (I just wish they hadn't created UMDs in the first place...one of their most boneheaded moves ever IMO).
All new games that run on the PSP2 will be released in either the new flash card format or as a digital download. And given the ability to release a full PSP1 game (which will run on both the PSP1 and the PSP2) via digial download, there is really no longer any reason for a company to release new games in UMD format. If people want a physical copy, they can buy a PSP2 and buy the game in flash card format. And if they just want the game for their PSP1, they can buy it on PSN in digital format which will also run on the PSP2 when that person upgrades in the future. The number of people that will only buy a new game if it is available on UMD will be VERY small.
However, I wonder if Sony will do the same thing with the PSP1 that they did with the PS2....keep selling it for another couple of years after the release of the PSP2. Most likely they would drop the price of the PSP1 to something like $150 or $129 (down from $179) and bundle in a couple of games (like they did with the PSPgo) while the PSP2 comes out at $299.
This would mirror the successful model of Nintendo with the DSLite and DSi when they removed the Gameboy cartridge support in the DSi and is similar to what Sony did with the PS2 and PS3 (before they pulled PS2 support from the PS3). It also provides 2 price points, one for entry-level gamers with a limited budget and another for high-end customers that demand the best, allowing them to compete against the Nintendo 3DS, DSi and DSLite (if Nintendo doesn't finally phase it out once they start shipping the 3DS).
But no matter how I look at things, I don't see any viable situation where they would continue to release new games on UMD format (at least in any meaningful quantity) once the PSP2 starts shipping. And between now and then, I don't expect many new games to come out on UMD other than those already scheduled because people would rather buy the PSN version which can then be played on the PSP2.
The one positive outcome I see is that if you are willing to buy UMDs for your existing PSP-1000/2000/3000, you'll probably be able to get some pretty good deals on them in the coming months as the start to clear them out.
One interesting thought I had was whether they might come out with a PSP-4000 which would support both UMDs and the new flash card format. This assumes that some PSP1 games would be released on the new flash card format and could be played on both the PSP1 and PSP2, but I don't think this scenario is very likely.
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