[quote name='The Mana Knight']But it's not just that, why is PS2 still leading by a great majority when games aren't selling?[/QUOTE]
That's easy: used games. When Grand Theft Auto, Gran Turismo, and virtually every other Greatest Hits title can be had for ten bucks or less at GameStop, there's
plenty to do with a PS2.
[quote name='The Mana Knight']The presidential election for an example kept showing McCain very close in polls, but was the election really close? Not really, it was mostly a blowout (especially when looking at the electoral vote). Almost every sample size showed McCain winning my state but Obama did.[/QUOTE]
That comes down to the individual poll in question. With the lone exception of Indiana (I know...your state),
FiveThirtyEight was able to project the election almost flawlessly, and some of the national polls were close.
So...yes, you CAN predict these things.
[quote name='The Mana Knight']Is Nielsen actually measuring just disc games being played, disc + downloads, or just when a console being turned on? Some just use their PS2 for a DVD player, some use 360 for media streaming, some use PS3 for blu-ray, some use Wii to look at the weather, some use Xbox for various media stuff, etc. Way too flawed.[/QUOTE]
Given all of the things that modern consoles can do, I'd imagine that it's just "console on" and "console off" that's being measured. Anything other than that would require much more invasive data collection. If that wasn't the case, I would assume they'd have individual game data available for platforms other than the PC.
If we assume that's the case, then the PS3's numbers might actually be
lower than reported when it comes to actual gaming because of the number of people who bought one primarily for a media server or a blu-ray player.
[quote name='The Mana Knight']IMO, if Nielson IS going to do the ratings, they might as well split everything up with various console combinations. Like if someone owns a PS2 and Wii only, measure that specific group on what they are playing. If Someone owns a PS3, 360, Wii, PS2, Xbox, GC, and pretty much everything, measure what percentage of each console is being turned on.[/QUOTE]
That would lead to mountains of useless data. If someone has a PS2 and a Wii...well, who cares? If people with PS3s and 360s used their PS3 more often than people with PS3s, 360s, and Wiis, what does that mean? And how would you extract
anything meaningful from that jumbled data set?