Analyst says Wii will still be scarce untill 2009

Analysts get paid to bullshit mostly. Wiis are constantly getting restocked. They seem available at the Nintendo store when I went.
 
It might be 2008 before you see stores stop selling out before they get their next shipment, but by mid summer I would expect them to be relatively easy to find. This guy is an idiot.
 
After Christmas 2007 I think that demand will let up, with it spiking again due to some releases and each Christmas the hardware is around.

With statments like this and month to month sales looking so good, when are 3rd parties going to wake up and start developing for Wii? I think around E3 time we're going to see a LOT of announcements.
 
[quote name='Masterkyo']Most Analyst is Idiot and they don't know what the hell they talking about.[/quote]

Agreed
 
[quote name='Masterkyo']Most Analyst is Idiot and they don't know what the hell they talking about.[/quote]

I love when people call other people idiots but then write like that. I do agree with you though about most analysts not knowing their ass from their elbow.
 
I remember when Virtual Boy's WERE in the clearance bins, at one point you could get them for $20. Now THERE was a Nintendo system that existed.
 
[quote name='jer7583']...when are 3rd parties going to wake up and start developing for Wii? [/QUOTE]


When they realize no one is going to buy anymore of their crappy PS2 ports for the Wii. Or they may just abandon it completely citing poor sales of their crappy ports as the reason.
 
You gotta be kidding me... 2009? Do you know how fast technology is developing now a day? We got new mem cards coming out almost every month. Hell, SD cards will be obsolete by then.
 
[quote name='schuerm26']I love when people call other people idiots but then write like that. I do agree with you though about most analysts not knowing their ass from their elbow.[/QUOTE]
I'd rather someone write like that with no pretense of intelligence, than be a fucking useless-piece-of-shit analyst.
 
I think there is a high possibility that this may work out to be true. This current demand is not going to let up and will only go up and reach the point of insanity when Christmas 2007 hits. Then it won't come down from insanity to scarce until sometime around April 2008, and depending on the games released around then, it will still be extremely hard to find. Then again around November 2008, the system will become impossible to find outside of ebay or standing on lines at 6AM in the morning.

Think about it, if Super Smash Bros. Melee is really released this year, then that means that not only are you competing with the casual consumers, but you're also going at it with hardcore gamers as well.

The way the system is selling, you're not going to be able to find a Nintendo Wii if all you ever do is walk a the store around 6:30PM expecting to see one. They'll usually all be gone with-in the first 3 hours of the store opening.
 
[quote name='Serpentor']You gotta be kidding me... 2009? Do you know how fast technology is developing now a day? We got new mem cards coming out almost every month. Hell, SD cards will be obsolete by then.[/quote]And that has what to do, exactly, with the demand of a piece of hardware through its 5-6 year lifecycle?

And SD cards are already "obsolete." Mini and Micro SD cards have been around for a long while. That, however, does not mean they won't be made in 5 years. We've still got CompactFlash cards being made. You don't stop making a media type just because newer stuff is out there. There's still a metric ton of devices that use SD cards, the Wii being one of the smallest segments of that group.
 
The obsolete arguement doesn't work with Wii, because it's basically already obsolete tech wise at release..

It's going to have some legs, and has a very, very good chance of being the #1 selling console this gen. Sony and MS's focus was way off on this one.
 
If this is an economic analyst, then he's absolutely right. In order to increase demand, Nintendo will squeeze the supply until people will impulse buy their console for fear of not being able to get one in the future.
 
[quote name='daroga']And that has what to do, exactly, with the demand of a piece of hardware through its 5-6 year lifecycle?

[/quote]

Im not entirely convinced the Wii was designed for a 5-6 yr life cycle. I think it is more of a way of introducing motion sensing at an affordable price until HD becomes more prevalent in the market place, and also much more affordable. Nintendo will then pop out a Wii HD System.
 
[quote name='daroga']And that has what to do, exactly, with the demand of a piece of hardware through its 5-6 year lifecycle?

And SD cards are already "obsolete." Mini and Micro SD cards have been around for a long while. That, however, does not mean they won't be made in 5 years. We've still got CompactFlash cards being made. You don't stop making a media type just because newer stuff is out there. There's still a metric ton of devices that use SD cards, the Wii being one of the smallest segments of that group.[/quote]
i guess it doesn't have to do with people want to buy a Wii or still looking for a Wii in 2009. However, i, for one will be pissted to learn that the Wiis they selling in 2009 still have SD slot only...
 
I'm not going to 'get into it' again with the Unwinnable War that is "Debating With Nintendo Fan", but I will say that I think this assh--err, "analyst" is off...by one digit. I think we're looking at a ludicrous shortage that will carry through the remainder of this calendar year. If it does 'end', it will be for a very brief period during the summer (and by that I mean a couple weeks) and will pick up again in no time as school starts again, another Game Worth Playing releases, and the Holidays approach, kickstarting it all over again.

2008 will be very interesting, however, as we'll see if the software finally realizes its potential, or if the Trendy Suburbanites and Minivan Moms that are captivated with this console currently suddenly (and arbitrarily) decide that they just don't give a shit about the Wii. (In which case it won't matter how plentiful the quality titles are.) You live by the Hype, you--well, maybe not die--recede by the Hype.

I'm really fucking tired of analysts and I'm even more tired of Wii shortage stories every other day. Feeling extremely conflicted about Nintendo right now.
 
[quote name='Serpentor']i guess it doesn't have to do with people want to buy a Wii or still looking for a Wii in 2009. However, i, for one will be pissted to learn that the Wiis they selling in 2009 still have SD slot only...[/quote]

Yes. From almost every technical aspect, be it visuals or sound, you bought an obsolete system except for the motion control, which is the reason the console is selling like gangbusters.
 
Oyi, glad to hear someone shares the same feeling, jollydwarf, couldn't agree more... I mean come on, it's a bit hard to find, but it's not that bad. You don't need to get up early or camp out to get one, it's silly! If you still don't have one now, then chances are you don't really want one in the first place...

I predict that by the end of June, the Wii shortage will be over.
 
Disagree. I had to go out early to get mine (voucher system at CC). I've never, ever, seen these sitting on the shelves, and I've been looking for quite a while.

I do agree that 2009 is laughable, and that these will be widely available by summertime.
 
[quote name='jer7583']
It's going to have some legs, and has a very, very good chance of being the #1 selling console this gen. Sony and MS's focus was way off on this one.[/quote]

I don't think M$ was way off, its more of a hardcore gamer system while Wii feels to me like DDR did when it came out. It was great and original, but the gimmick wore off quickly.

I feel like I am justified in making these claims because I own a 360 and had a launch Wii (yay for BB overnight camping) that, while neat, didn't really hold my interest for hours of gaming.
 
[quote name='Serpentor']i guess it doesn't have to do with people want to buy a Wii or still looking for a Wii in 2009. However, i, for one will be pissted to learn that the Wiis they selling in 2009 still have SD slot only...[/quote]Why? They still make SD cards in the biggest Flash sizes available, never mind almost every Micro and Mini SD card out there coming with a regular sized SD card adapter.
 
[quote name='jollydwarf']I'm really fucking tired of analysts and I'm even more tired of Wii shortage stories every other day. Feeling extremely conflicted about Nintendo right now.[/quote]You do realize that they've sold 25% more consoles than the nearest competitor (PS2) so far this year, right? Whether it's a manufactured shortage or not, the demand is ridiculous.

Edit: Actually, it's about 20% more than the PS2, 40% more than the 360.
 
[quote name='neocisco']Kotaku is becoming the videogame version of the National Enquirer.[/QUOTE]

Kotaku reports news and later tells if it has been proven wrong. Your statement is not valid!!!

reboot!
 
[quote name='Serpentor']Oyi, glad to hear someone shares the same feeling, jollydwarf, couldn't agree more... I mean come on, it's a bit hard to find, but it's not that bad. You don't need to get up early or camp out to get one, it's silly! If you still don't have one now, then chances are you don't really want one in the first place...

I predict that by the end of June, the Wii shortage will be over.[/quote]

Will you stop posting if you're wrong?
 
I've never actually heard a comment from an analyst to be true or well-thought out, and this one is no exception.
 
[quote name='ahmedmalik']Will you stop posting if you're wrong?[/quote]

Sure, i will stop posting Wii shortage related forum if i'm wrong... of course, you have to wait till the end of June :bouncy:
 
[quote name='daroga']Why? They still make SD cards in the biggest Flash sizes available, never mind almost every Micro and Mini SD card out there coming with a regular sized SD card adapter.[/quote]

Not if the SD card is "obsolete."

Again, i highly doubt the 2009 Wiis will still be the same Wii we're playing on now. It would be extremely "pissy" if the 2009 Wii is same model as the 2007 ones (i.e. w/o ANY improvements or redesign).

Anyhow, why the hell i'm getting pissed at things not gonna happen, *sigh* being too paranoid...
 
I'm one of the few that don't care about the Wii but I find this thread odd when places like xPlay say something like "what are Wii and PS3 fans suppose to do with there expensive paper weights?"
 
[quote name='MisterHand']By "haven't seen it on the shelves" I meant "haven't seen it on the shelves in ANY store".[/quote]

Hmmm, it's YMMV thing really... the other day i was at TRU buying SPM, they got a number of Wiis. Last month when i was shopping for a PS3 for a friend at CC (the infamous CC coupon), i saw at least 10 Wiis.

Of course, chances are, they don't last long on the shelves, but still, i SAW them on the shelves! And no, there was no line... i can easily buy TWO if i wanted to, but why? i already got one under $200 (heehee, being a CAG, i know better), new of course (from CC, i.e. the infamous coupon, used twice ;))...
 
[quote name='VipFREAK']I'm one of the few that don't care about the Wii but I find this thread odd when places like xPlay say something like "what are Wii and PS3 fans suppose to do with there expensive paper weights?"[/quote]Play games, I guess. I don't really see why people have any issue with the games on either system, personally.
 
[quote name='Serpentor']Not if the SD card is "obsolete."

Again, i highly doubt the 2009 Wiis will still be the same Wii we're playing on now. It would be extremely "pissy" if the 2009 Wii is same model as the 2007 ones (i.e. w/o ANY improvements or redesign).

Anyhow, why the hell i'm getting pissed at things not gonna happen, *sigh* being too paranoid...[/quote]I'm so confused by this. What do you think is going to happen, that the mainstream media formats is just going to disappear?

Like I said, the first digital camera I ever got used Compact Flash cards. That was 8 years ago. They still make Compact Flash cards. SD isn't going anywhere for a long time. Even if it is "obsolete" the fact that there are so many devices out there that use it will mean there's still profit to be made from selling them.

It's all kinda moot anyway. Not like there's too much use for the SD card on the Wii as it is.
 
I don't think the supply of SD cards will be going away anytime soon, they are so dirt cheap now on ebay, even if manufacturers stopped producing them, which again is a long way off, there would still be a huge supply of used SD cards available. The cards don't really die or anything from what I understand, they last many many years.
 
*sigh* forget about the SD card posts, i retract... what i really meant to say is, the Wii should have another slot for CF or something. Anyhow, not important, move on...
 
Rather than put in a new slot for another type of card, I suspect they'll just allow us to put a usb drive in the slots on the back.
 
First off I'm not a Nintendo fanboi. The Wii is the 3rd console I've ever bought. The 1st being an Atari 2600 and the second being a Dreamcast (cause they went on sale for $50). I'm a PC gamer primarily now. With that said, it bugs the crap out of me when people start calling the Wii "obsolete" because it hasn't got the graphical power of the PSbox3. It's all about the GAMES not about how pretty they are. Sure I've played Resistance on the PS3 and heck yeah it was fun (specially in Co-op mode), but was it because it was shiny and pretty? Nope. It's because it was fun!

Nintendo set out to make an accessible console for those who have never played video games before. And you know what? It WORKED. THAT'S why it's kicking the other two consoles butt and that's why it will keep kicking their butt. On top of that, it's got a GREAT price point. Who wants to play $600 for a GAME system when you can go buy a laptop (that can do that and so much more) for that much? Granted, some on this board will/would/have but most folks won't.

I've been playing video games for 30 years now which I think qualifies me as being more "hardcore" than most of the "hardcore" gamers by quite a few years. And honestly I think those guys could use a nice cold glass of STFU and realize, it's the GAMES stupid, not the graphics.

Just my 3 cents.

--TheErk

BTW I picked up my Wii this weekend after showing up an hour after BB opened after seeing them in the newspaper ad. Our Wal-Mart in town had 5 or 6 on the SHELVES yesterday afternoon. Evidently supply is going up and I agree, this analyst doesn't have a clue.
 
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