[quote name='irishsoccermbw']
So I think we can agree that its not multi-accounts that get people flagged. My thoughts are it has to deal with one of the following:
[/QUOTE]
I think we can be reasonably certain that it has to do with multiple accounts and/or shipping address and/or account usage, because it definitely has nothing to do with how the tickets were earned. It does seem that whatever is going on either has some lucky (and nearly random) exceptions, or some very hard to see pattern.
[quote name='irishsoccermbw']
1. Search program that some people participated in[/QUOTE]
I will confirm that this has nothing to do with search perks. I never participated in the search perks program on any account past or present, and I am still missing multiple orders on multiple accounts to multiple addresses.
[quote name='irishsoccermbw']
2. Sending them emails complaining[/QUOTE]
This is a real possibility. If anyone remembers the first year of LSC they basically didn't send prizes (with a few exceptions), and told anyone that contacted them they were cheaters. It is possible that they have gone back to this strategy. In the end they switched distribution companies and sent most of the prizes a year later. So there is a history of arbitrarily not sending prizes.
[quote name='irishsoccermbw']
3. The time (seemingly April) when things were ordered[/QUOTE]
Two things are different between now and April. In April they just seemed to misplace about a week worth of orders, but now we are in to our second week of this with no end in sight. Also we now have the shipping tracker, so we know that unlike in April prizes are being shipped, just only about a third of the volume that used to be shipped.
One thing I did notice playing around with the tracker however is it seems very few types of prizes are being shipped. By looking at the weights shipping to random large cities, and reading the reports of prizes received, it seems as if only Five or six types of prizes have shipped recently: 1.0lbs=Vista, 0.4lbs=xbox games, 3.7lbs=?, 0.80lbs=PnC kit, 1.3lbs=Controller (black from April orders), and maybe 15lbs=X360. If you read this A_Gamer you might try another weight analysis of the prizes shipped. I doubt this would explain everything however, even if true in general, as many people are missing these prizes too.
[quote name='irishsoccermbw']
4. Bad luck[/QUOTE]
As above it is possible that they have gone back to shipping a handful of random orders to keep people playing, but denying everything else.
Here are a few other possibilities, please disprove them when possible:
1) Flagging by postal address. Has anyone received orders to any address at which they have previously had an order flagged?
2) Flagging when more than 1000 tickets are earned on one IP address per day. Seems unlikely as this would unjustly affect a lot of networks behind a single IP.
3) Flagging whenever more than one account is played from a single computer or virtual machine tracked using cookies or some other means available to flash programs.
4) Flagging based on information in the Live ID (rather than CB profile). Seems unlikely because the information would not be uniquely identifiable.
5) Browser version. I think I am missing both FF3 and IE8 Orders, but can anyone else confirm?