On twitter, Josh said both Flinthook and Mercenary Kings are around 7,500 - 8,000 copies. Apparently less than Thimbleweed Park. I'm glad I got my CE now!
WOW, those are amazing numbers, and well over what I would have guessed. I just went to see the comments, and I think they may be stuck with this preorder system for awhile. Josh is already pointing out how the standard Thimbleweed Park is going for $90+ on Ebay, so he's telling anyone who is interested to get the current titles before those face similar fates.
TwP isn't shipping for months(as are all NS titles), so of course games right now are going to sell rather high, as there is none to be had(a false sense of rarity). Once that game actually ships, and all those "flipper" copies hit the market, I really don't see that high of a price hanging around, as the retail price might not even be maintained once several thousand go online at the same time? So I guess the pre-orders where the way to go, as due to those long lead times, there's really no way to say what demand will be for many more months. And by that time, LRG will have sold many more NS titles to probably very similar numbers.
Which from a business standpoint is great, but once all those values drop, then I can finally see that "bubble bursting" happening that has been talked about around here for years. As then, you may have several thousand copies of a game being sold on the secondary market, then interest drops on those future pre-orders. Of course going back to set amounts could fix that issue, but the damage may already be done. But with the "N" crowd, this all may be silly talk, as prices may rise further at release, but it seems unlikely. So once again, if anyone is buying these games for some investment, you are taking a HUGE gamble, as many of these NS games could easily end up selling for retail(or less) 6 months from now, and beyond.
EDIT: So buy these games because you want to play a particular title, and would like to have it physically(and may like a CE items). Any other reasons, you may be wasting time & money, but that is totally up to the individual.