[quote name='javeryh']You seriously believe that Posada is not better than Martinez and Jeter is not better than Peralta? Seriously? That's just crazy. If I was starting an all-time playoff team Jeter would be one of my first picks. You can't base anything on the 2007 postseason statistics - they've played 3 games. There is no question whatsoever that the Yankees offense is far and away better than the Indians.
As for the pitching, the Indians have a better 1-2 at the top of the order (although I still think Wang is almost as good as either of them when he's getting his ground balls) but the rest of the pitching staff - especially the bullpen - has to go in the Yankees favor. Granted, Farnsworth sucks but that's about it. Hughes pitched great last night and they still have Mussina fully rested - not to mention the greatest closer of all time. Who else do the Indians have that poses a threat? Barring something unexpected, Byrd is going to get hammered tonight. He doesn't strike anyone out so the Yankees will be putting the ball in play which isn't going to be good news for the Indians. I'm not even a Yankees fan but to say that Cleveland is clearly the better team seems crazy to me.[/QUOTE]
It's just my point: the Yankees may have better production in the regular season, but what is it doing for them now? What do regular season stats matter in the playoffs? Absolutely nothing.
When looking at who I gave the advantage to, that's postseason stuff (and I even stated that). The Indians have four positions where they are better than the Yankees, and the Yanks have the same number. If you still like regular season numbers, Cleveland's pitching staff was Top 5 in ERA, CG, SV, IP, R, ER, HR, BB (1st) and WHIP. The numbers are right there.
If you compare Pettite to Sabathia and Wong to Carmona, you get the Indians 1-2 winning across the board in stats (except for HR). If you compare #3 pitchers (in terms of IP - Byrd v Mussina), Byrd wins in ERA, W, CG, SHO, IP, and BB (with Mussina leading in H, R, ER & HR). If you compare #4s (Westbrook and Clemens), it may look like Clemens has the upper hand in most statistics, but he also pitched a 1/3 full less innings. The only spot where New York clearly has an advantage in regular season stats is the #5 pitcher, and we wouldn't see either one in this series.
As for the bullpen, Rivera does have better numbers in the regular season, but Borowski had more saves and save opportunities. If you look at setup men, the answer is undoubtably Betancourt over Farnsworth. Rafael pitched more innings and lower numbers in EVERY statistical category than Kyle. It wasn't even close, as evidenced by the ERA: 1.47 to 4.80. You could insert Chamberlain in there for better numbers, but he only pitched 19 innings and is a rookie. If gnats are going to bother him (as you yourself alluded to), then can you trust him with a big-time game on the line? We don't know, because he hasn't been in that situation.
Coming into the series, if you had told anyone that you liked New York's pitching staff over Cleveland, you would have been committed.
So, we wipe the slate clean and look at what's happened over three games: Cleveland's pitching has by and large shut down the Yankees bats (last statistically for teams still alive), and the pitching has been lit up worse than in the regular season (again, last for teams still alive). There's only one thing that has carried over statistically - the Indians pitching.