[quote name='arcane93']Black Friday is just over two months away at this point. Unless this sells absolutely terribly (and really, regardless of the whining fanboys, what are the chances of that?), there is no way you're going to see an additional $30 drop then. Not going to happen. Maybe next year. This year, this is poised to be one of the big Christmas gift releases, so the price will hold.
More likely, this will be $80 at release week, and then will go up to $90 or $100 in the weeks that follow. After that, it might go back down to $80 for BF, so that those holiday shoppers that weren't thinking 3+ months in advance and missed release week think that they're getting a bargain.
I think that there will be better deals on it than $80, and probably reasonably soon (more than likely through B&N coupons or something like that), but they're not going to be massively better deals.
If we see a BF deal on any of this year's big boxes, it will be the LotR Extended Trilogy, as it will have already been out for half a year at that point. But even that will probably only take it from the ~$80 it's currently selling for on Amazon to the ~$60 that many of us already paid for it. Or, maybe from the $100 it's selling for at Best Buy to $70 to slightly beat Amazon's current price.
As for the Alien Anthology, yes, there have been better deals on it lately, but 1) it's not nearly as big as Star Wars, and 2) it's been out for nearly a year already.[/QUOTE]
Not that I'm saying Back to the Future is bigger than Star Wars, but didn't that come out in late October, and get heavily discounted on Black Friday to the surprise of most people here? I have to imagine BttF was one of the more popular Blu-ray releases last year too.
I think making definitive statements that it won't happen is just silly. Is it highly probable? no, but it's not impossible either. If not $50, than perhaps a little higher, but I do think the possibility of a BF deal exists.