[quote name='guessed']If it dropped in price before it was released, then nobody paid the higher price, and it can't really be considered a price drop. Five months (Nov. to April) is pretty quick for a price drop, but it could happen again. I'm not waiting five months for Mario 64 DS, but suit yourself. Not everyone is an early adopter. There is no question that there will be a price drop at some time in the future, it just won't be soon enough to warrant me waiting for it.[/quote]
First, the price drop of the N64 is relevant because the N64 was a highly anticipated system that sold out all over the place, yet the dropped the price from $250 to $200, further increasing the demand.
I really don't want Mario 64 DS at all, nor do I want any of the launch titles. If I wanted to play Mario 64, I still haven't gotten all the stars in the N64 version, so I'll go back to that. I'm waiting for a few games that I'm dying to play - when WarioWare Touched and Yoshi's Touch and Go come out by the end of March, then I'm going to grab myself a DS. I also don't really want a silver one, so I may be willing to wait until a black DS is released. Luckily, the second GBA WarioWare comes out close to the DS one, so that may be able to hold me over for a little while longer.
My whole point was that it's likely to happen again. Especially with the PSP coming out in March, Nintendo's going to want to take away as much potential sales from Sony that they can. I wouldn't be too surprised if we saw the DS drop to $130 or even $100 by the end of March.