[quote name='PittsburghAfterDark']Early/late fringe, prime access is unaffected by this.
In markets like Madison and other mid size markets, say 25-70, it's not going to be hard to replace a 2.something rating. You could run old movies and generate that kind of rating. They did it for 40 years prior to the WB and UPN and independent television stations did fantastic. WPIX, WOR, WGN and WTBS are all prime examples.
I wouldn't be surprised if a UPN or WB station in Madison worked out a deal to get Bucks or Brewers games or picked up the Big 10 basketball or football packages. This is what most independents did in the past, it will still work. Conferences and the NBA, NHL, MLB all want more games over the air on free TV as opposed to cable only. The WB/UPN era killed over the air sports packages, they'll make a comeback.
The ratings minimums set forth by Toyota, Mickey D's, Honda, Lowes, BB etc. don't matter too much. None of their local or spot national buys put bucks into prime time. If they do it's 5-10% of an overall ad buy. If Toyota has a $70K buy for the Madison DMA for 2nd quarter that's only $3,500-7,000 in prime time split amongst the ABC, NBC, CBS, Fox, UPN and WB stations. A show like Desperate Housewives is probably going for $700-800 on the Madison ABC affiliate, what does that leave for everyone else?
If I were still an AE or NSM at a station losing my UPN or WB affiliate relationship I wouldn't be sweating this. The coat tails of either network weren't long enough to have a sweeping business effect on the station.[/QUOTE]
I understand what you are saying, but I think you may be misunderstanding part of what I am saying. It's basically that the loss of prime time will affect otherprograms ratings as well. And actually the WB prime does well here in Madison because of the university, so it does hurt.
No matter what, people are most worried bacuse of the uncertainty. If the local station gets the new networks rights, they are in great shape. If not, there is talk of selling off everything.