SlightlyOffTrack
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There is a lot of developing information here, and I'll update as necessary, but right now what we seem to know:
If you did not activate any of your keys, you will likely get a full refund.
If you activated SOME keys, then you might STILL get a refund (meaning you get the games you managed to activate for free).
HOWEVER, if you managed to get keys for Skyrim and/or Dishonored, then you might be safe from a refund (most likely because they are quite valuable games). I can confirm the Skyrim part, as I personally have received nothing yet. UPDATE: Reports of refunds even after activating Skyrim and Dishonored and others- YOUR GAMES WILL STILL WORK! Of course, no word on whether this will hold up in the coming days, but for now enjoy the free games.
If you activated all keys, then you are a god.
More to come.
EDIT: It seems that most if not all Borderlands packs are also being refunded.
EDIT2: There seems to be a lot of confusion about what happened to gifted keys. There are some reports of gifted keys still being available (or at least "pending") while others are reporting getting refunds for those orders as well. Furthermore, if you gifted an item to yourself, then it seems like those too are still available- but again, this is still very fluid, so check back later.
EDIT3: Not to freak anyone out (maybe), but apparently GG CAN take games directly off of Steam (in the sense that it is physically possible to do so). That means that nobody's keys are necessarily safe, even if you already installed, etc. We'll likely see how this develops in the coming days.
EDIT4: Last edit of the night- many (including myself) who have redeemed keys have received NO refund, which you can either chalk up to GG being slow or actually being allowed to get the entire pack (eventually). Meanwhile, many others have received refunds despite getting keys as well- they are the lucky ones so far, though that also means that they will not be getting the keys they missed. Finally, those who missed out on any keys seem out of luck.
Still no word on what is going on with gifts, but I will see if anything develops tomorrow. I'm betting things will become clearer once the cluster dies down.