- LOCK - Format War - HD DVD vs. Blu-Ray - LOCK -

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[quote name='propeller_head']blu-ray.com is per your words

and as i said. their source for the story is a sony press release. a press release which lists no sources of data.

i also have serious doubts there's not any collusion between the BDA & Blu-ray.com. or else there would have been a lawsuit looooooong ago.[/quote]

I was talking about the Forums, not the actual site.
 
[quote name='H.Cornerstone']Blu-ray.com is indenpentaly run and I have yet to find a story that they posted that was considered inaccurate, and in fact most of their stories I find on Highdefdigest.com not too much later.[/QUOTE]

Blu-ray.com can be accurate...but I wouldn't trust many of their forum posts. Apparently WB was going to go Blu-ray exclusive last week. That was HILARIOUS! Someone on AVS started the rumor and Blu-bots were SO excited proclaiming the end of the war....and then they found out it was a joke :lol:
 
http://www.highdefdigest.com/news/s...yer,_Delays_BD-UP5000_Dual-Format_Player/1020

although they were among the most eagerly anticipated of the season, it seems two of Samsung's previously-announced next-gen players will not hit store shelves later this month as originally planned.

WesleyTech.com first broke the news late Friday that Samsung had cancelled its higher-end BDP-2400 Blu-ray Player. Later, it was revealed that the manufactuer would also delay the launch of its dual-format HD DVD/Blu-ray player, the BD-UP5000.

Both players had originally been expected to hit store shelves before November 1st.

As announced by Samsung back in July, the BDP-2400 was set to be a slightly higher-end cousin to the just-released BDP-1400, including all of the later player's features, plus Samsung's proprietary de-interlacing technology.

The dual format BD-UP5000 player is now expected to hit store shelves sometime in December.

As we've previously reported, Samsung will be the second manufacturer to market an dual player capable of playing HD DVD and Blu-ray discs, following the introduction of LG's BH100 in January of this year. LG plans to release its own new dual-format player (the BH200) later this month.

Now did Samsung cancel this because...
1. They couldn't implement 1.1 Profile into the 2400?
2. They no longer want to do 'high end' Blu-ray Players and stick with the cheaper 1400?
3. No longer want to produce Format only players and strictly plan on doing Dual Format ones?
 
[quote name='H.Cornerstone']But but but Blu-ray.com posted that too so it must be wrong!

Interesting forum posts... now he is just talking about 3rd generation players, not the 299.99 Toshiba one, so Toshiba does still have a advantage there, however, if you take a 3rd generation HD-DVD and compare it to a Blu-ray player and they both have the same features, only 15$ cheaper than Blu-ray. Now 15$ is 15$, but There isn't that great of advantage as there once was.[/quote] HD-A2 is $200-210 normally at amazon.
& they posted it too (
 
Couple things Gizmo, 1. There are many many many things that appear on the Target website that don't end up in the store, and I can't foresee a place like Target carrying a cheaper off brand like venturer, just not our style, as that would compete with their own "Trutech" brand and that's not what they want. The cheapest brand we have is Memorex which still has some brand recognition. 2nd. I wasn't talking about Forum posts, all forums are filled with morons, but their news stories are usually accurate. 3rd thing, I am pretty sure I read somewhere that Samsung was going to go with Dual-format only players?
 
[quote name='mykevermin']:lol: Of course Samsung wants to sell HD DVD players, since the players are so cheap and HD DVD discs are selling so well.[/quote]

QFT....
 
[quote name='mykevermin']:lol: Of course Samsung wants to sell HD DVD players, since the players are so cheap and HD DVD discs are selling so well.[/quote]
dear sarcastic genius,

dual-format players at a reasonable price in a market where demand is high for it & there's little to no competition = attractive/profitable endeavor.
 
[quote name='propeller_head']dual-format players at a reasonable price[/QUOTE]

See, that's where you're already wrong (or at least 15-18 months ahead of yourself), so the rest of what you had to say isn't worth reading.
 
[quote name='mykevermin']:lol: Of course Samsung wants to sell HD DVD players, since the players are so cheap and HD DVD discs are selling so well.[/QUOTE]

...Yes, because the gap between Blu-ray and HD DVD is closing. Paramount and Dreamworks releasing only on HD DVD helps a bit too. Lets not also forget Samsung does not have to compete with the PS3, Sony, Pioneer, Panasonic, Sharp etc. players that are littering the Blu-ray field right now and no worries about silly profiles as the HD DVD is that of a finalized one.

And No, Samsung is not making a HD DVD player. They are making a Dual one and canceled the higher end Blu-ray Player like I posted above.
 
[quote name='H.Cornerstone']Couple things Gizmo, 1. There are many many many things that appear on the Target website that don't end up in the store, and I can't foresee a place like Target carrying a cheaper off brand like venturer, just not our style, as that would compete with their own "Trutech" brand and that's not what they want. The cheapest brand we have is Memorex which still has some brand recognition. 2nd. I wasn't talking about Forum posts, all forums are filled with morons, but their news stories are usually accurate. 3rd thing, I am pretty sure I read somewhere that Samsung was going to go with Dual-format only players?[/QUOTE]

Yes, its possible Target will not carry this at all. However its listed on the website, with the appropriate 'arrival' time, with a picture and model #. Now, had it just said "Venturer HD DVD Player" with no picture and no information I might believe its just a 'template', but with the stock picture it makes it seem likes its happening.

What if the agreement with Sony for the end cap was that they didn't sell any TOSHIBA HD DVD players in their stores during the holiday? Venturer is not Toshiba.... ;)
 
[quote name='mykevermin']prove it.[/QUOTE]

Why? You'll just post a different article by the BDA which says "Not True!!!!!"

Don't be sore.
 
[quote name='GizmoGC']Why? You'll just post a different article by the BDA which says "Not True!!!!!"

Don't be sore.[/QUOTE]

Don't lie. Prove it.
 
Best bet is to look at the Nielsen numbers. The setpoint for the first 8 months of the year was roughly 66/34. Meaning with equal releases on any particular week, that's what the ratio would be. If Blu-Ray had more/better releases, the first number would be higher (82/18 being higest of the year, back in March). If HD DVD had more/better releases, the second number would be higher (52/48 being highest of the year, in April).

In the past month, we've had 1 week where HD DVD had more/better releases, which was 56/44, and three weeks where Blu-Ray had more/better releases (and an organized Blu-Ray buy day in the last week), which have averaged 61/39.

Previously, 61/39 would have been a week where HD DVD had a MUCH stronger release slate than Blu-Ray. Now it's a week where Blu-Ray has a slightly stronger slate. The setpoint has changed quite drastically. It'll take some more data to know for sure, but I'd guess it's at 60/40 or 59/41. That's a BIG change.
 
I'm not sure what you mean by "setpoint." Home Media Magazine has been using Nielsen and SoundScan sales data to show three bits of information each week: weekly marketshare, year to date marketshare, and marketshare since inception.

http://forum.blu-ray.com/showthread.php?t=8608

If you can hold your nose long enough to check the links to Home Media Magazine in that first post, you'll see that the most important measure, marketshare since inception, has consistently moved in favor of Blu-Ray. The YTD shares are will within the 2/3 marketshare for BR mean. I'm curious what movies were released on HD and BR, respectively, during those two weeks in September (9/2 and 9/9). They stand out like statistical anomalies (and, I'm willing to bet, an organized HD buy day - I don't follow that kind of nonsense, so I never know when there is one), IMO.

If you scroll down and look, you'll see that kind of fluctuation repeat itself from April to today. It ebbs and flows from 60/40 to 70/30, resting at a safe mean of 66/34. What will really be interesting, of course, is 10/16, since we'll see how much Paramount matters. If Transformers can't get the job done, then this holiday is in the bag for BR.
 
I defined setpoint, and you agreed when you said "safe mean of 66/34". The average when there are no influential releases in a particular week.

And I disagree that SI is the most important metric. Discs sold in the past are in the past, and mean nothing with regards to future profits. SI did move consistently toward Blu-Ray this year, but only because HD DVD was so dominant in 2006. It's not so much moving towards Blu-Ray as it is moving towards the setpoint. If Blu-Ray had dominated last year, with an 80/20 ratio, and this year had been the same, SI would have likewised gravitated towards HD DVD, and we'd probably be somewhere around 70/30 now. What's important is how SI interacts with YTD and weekly sales.

As for 9/2 important factors, you had:

Blades of Glory, Heroes, and Dawn of the Dead (remake), along with 300 and TMNT residuals for HD DVD, vs. 300, TMNT, and Wild Hogs residuals for Blu-Ray. Nothing Blu-Ray exclusive released this week.

9/9 saw:

Nip/Tuck and 300 residuals for both formats, with Delta Farce and Remember the Titans, along with Wild Hogs Residuals for Blu-Ray, and Heroes/Blades of Glory residuals for HD DVD. Nothing HD DVD exclusive released this week.

9/16 was:

Replacement Killers plus 300 residuals for Blu-Ray, vs. 300 and Heroes residuals for HD DVD. Nothing of consequence released for HD DVD this week.

9/23 had:

We Are Marshall, Smallville Season 6, Alexander, and Deliverance, plus 300 residuals for both formats (first week 300 didn't lead the chart). Blu-Ray also got Troy as a "new" release (previously available on HD DVD), along with The Condemned. Nothing exclusive of consequence for HD DVD.
 
I only ask because "setpoint" is not terminology I've ever seen anyone use instead of "marketshare," "proportion of sales," and other more common phrases. It makes me think of tennis, actually.

It seems like you're parsing words when you say that "[SI share is] not so much moving towards Blu-Ray as it is moving towards the setpoint." It's doing both. It's certainly moving in a direction that favors Blu-Ray, and it's also moving towards the mean (law of large numbers and all that).
 
So if Blu-ray tanks this Christmas and HD DVD starts pulling more ground...then what? What will you be cheering for then? Spring of 08? Universal Neutral at CES 08? :lol:

BDA/Sony was no where to be seen at last weeks 'Digital Life' in NYC. Xbox 360 and HD DVD was there with a pretty big setup educating customers and handing out free HD DVDs. Did the BDA blow their budget? They were there last year.
 
[quote name='GizmoGC']So if Blu-ray tanks this Christmas and HD DVD starts pulling more ground...then what? What will you be cheering for then? Spring of 08? Universal Neutral at CES 08? :lol:[/quote]

huh? 'the hell are you talking about?

EDIT: Oh, I suppose I'll come clean. I'll be organizing "Buy days" like I'd organize a protest rally, I'll be waiting for $199 players, and I'll be waiting for BR to buy out Universal (or Paramount!) like the cheap whore they are...and then I'll smugly assert that BR's dominance is because of consumer preference, despite sales numbers to the contrary.

Oh, wait...what format do I own again? Blu-Ray? Oh, nevermind. I'll just let the sales numbers do the talking. Get Knocked Up and Transformers out of the way, and HD has nothing for BR to be even moderately afraid of after that.

BDA/Sony was no where to be seen at last weeks 'Digital Life' in NYC. Xbox 360 and HD DVD was there with a pretty big setup educating customers and handing out free HD DVDs. Did the BDA blow their budget? They were there last year.

Maybe they didn't need to go somewhere to hand out free videos nobody's buying? Maybe they're content outselling HD DVD with just their standalone players? Beats me; they never call me anymore.

I'm still waiting for you to prove this statement:

[quote name='GizmoGC']...Yes, because the gap between Blu-ray and HD DVD is closing.[/quote]

Why do you keep ducking it?
 
[quote name='mykevermin']huh? 'the hell are you talking about?

EDIT: Oh, I suppose I'll come clean. I'll be organizing "Buy days" like I'd organize a protest rally, I'll be waiting for $199 players, and I'll be waiting for BR to buy out Universal (or Paramount!) like the cheap whore they are...and then I'll smugly assert that BR's dominance is because of consumer preference, despite sales numbers to the contrary.

Oh, wait...what format do I own again? Blu-Ray? Oh, nevermind. I'll just let the sales numbers do the talking. Get Knocked Up and Transformers out of the way, and HD has nothing for BR to be even moderately afraid of after that.



Maybe they didn't need to go somewhere to hand out free videos nobody's buying? Maybe they're content outselling HD DVD with just their standalone players? Beats me; they never call me anymore.

I'm still waiting for you to prove this statement:



Why do you keep ducking it?[/QUOTE]

Paramount is the cheap 'whore', yet I'm sure Disney and Fox just love this whole Profile 1.0/1.1 mess. Yeah, there not being paid AT ALL!

Sony and the BDA were at Digital Life LAST year doing the same thing. This year...not so much.

As for my 'closing the gap', like I said, there is no point. If I show you one link you will simply say 'Well that shouldn't be counted blah blah blah'. The typical crap you pull. No point.
 
[quote name='GizmoGC']Paramount is the cheap 'whore', yet I'm sure Disney and Fox just love this whole Profile 1.0/1.1 mess. Yeah, there not being paid AT ALL![/quote]

prove it.

Sony and the BDA were at Digital Life LAST year doing the same thing. This year...not so much.

Which means, of course, that the sales gap for this entire year, favoring Blu-Ray 2 to 1, will suddenly change! Or, it just means that Blu-Ray wasn't there. I don't see Nintendo's absence at the TGS harming them, and I certainly don't see Microsoft's presence at TGS doing them any favors in selling 8 more systems over there. I'd look at digital life the same way. A nice conference to attend, I suppose, but appearing or not appearing won't do very much of anything.

As for my 'closing the gap', like I said, there is no point. If I show you one link you will simply say 'Well that shouldn't be counted blah blah blah'. The typical crap you pull. No point.

:lol: As long as we're in agreement that you were lying, that you have no proof, that there is no supporting data for such a boldfaced claim at all, and that you were merely trying to will your desires into truth, rather than face the actual sales trends.
 
PS3 will get DTS-HD MA internal decoding by Christmas. Lots of hinting towards it.

I'm really hoping so.
If true, then the PS3 will have everything I want in a BD player.
 
Not if they didn't attend digitallife it won't.

Don't you realize what this means? Sony wasn't at digitallife! IT'S OVER! ABANDON SHIP! DUMP ALL THE DISCS ON EBAY NOW!!!

*cough*
 
[quote name='mykevermin']I only ask because "setpoint" is not terminology I've ever seen anyone use instead of "marketshare," "proportion of sales," and other more common phrases. It makes me think of tennis, actually.[/quote]
sorry, it's not like an official term or anything. Just how I refer to the point where things tend to settle when there aren't any overt influences in either direction. Any week where one side doesn't have a particular release advantage is likely to land at this mean or setpoint.

[quote name='mykevermin']It seems like you're parsing words when you say that "[SI share is] not so much moving towards Blu-Ray as it is moving towards the setpoint." It's doing both. It's certainly moving in a direction that favors Blu-Ray, and it's also moving towards the mean (law of large numbers and all that).[/quote]
I agree completely. Both SI and YTD are moving towards the setpoint or mean. Which means SI is moving towards Blu-Ray while YTD is moving toward HD DVD. All that really says is HD was more dominant in 2006 than it is now, while Blu-Ray was more dominant in Q1 than it is now. That's why I was making the distinction.

But back on point, what started all this is I believe the setpoint or mean has changed post-Paramount (we both agree it was 66/34 before). It's still too early to tell for sure what it'll be, but as I suggested previously it appears to be in the 60/40 range. We have two more weeks to watch it shake out before Transformers kicks off the whirlwind Q4 season that makes any sort of "mean" calculation impossible.
 
[quote name='geko29']sorry, it's not like an official term or anything. Just how I refer to the point where things tend to settle when there aren't any overt influences in either direction. Any week where one side doesn't have a particular release advantage is likely to land at this mean or setpoint.[/quote]

Fair enough. I'm hanging out in front of my laptop every day writing, so I have to be very careful (there, anyway) in the terminology I use. Moreover, I'm a statistician/quantoid, so if people start throwing out vernacular I don't recognize, I get confused and make accusations. I'll continue to use "mean" or "marketshare."

I agree completely. Both SI and YTD are moving towards the setpoint or mean. Which means SI is moving towards Blu-Ray while YTD is moving toward HD DVD. All that really says is HD was more dominant in 2006 than it is now, while Blu-Ray was more dominant in Q1 than it is now. That's why I was making the distinction.

But back on point, what started all this is I believe the setpoint or mean has changed post-Paramount (we both agree it was 66/34 before). It's still too early to tell for sure what it'll be, but as I suggested previously it appears to be in the 60/40 range. We have two more weeks to watch it shake out before Transformers kicks off the whirlwind Q4 season that makes any sort of "mean" calculation impossible.

What are the major HD exclusives between now and Christmas? We'll find out in a week or so whether or not "Knocked Up" was a big deal or not. Transformers is unarguably the highest profile HD release this fall, and Shrek has a universal appeal as a result of the technology it uses, and, well, its universal appeal as a film series. Outside of those 3, I can't think of major HD releases (I'm not trying to say there are none, but since I don't own a player I'm noy paying attention).

Transformers may matter. I think the absolute best HD can hope for is to sell 40% of all discs for the holiday season. Anything more is unlikely.
 
[quote name='mykevermin']What are the major HD exclusives between now and Christmas? We'll find out in a week or so whether or not "Knocked Up" was a big deal or not. Transformers is unarguably the highest profile HD release this fall, and Shrek has a universal appeal as a result of the technology it uses, and, well, its universal appeal as a film series. Outside of those 3, I can't think of major HD releases (I'm not trying to say there are none, but since I don't own a player I'm noy paying attention).

Transformers may matter. I think the absolute best HD can hope for is to sell 40% of all discs for the holiday season. Anything more is unlikely.[/quote] Oh I didn't mean to say Transformers was going to permanently change the tide. Just that it's the first of many blockbusters (on both sides) that are going to cause the needle to swing WILDLY throughout the fourth quarter, which will make calculating the mean difficult.

Big and/or Huge releases as I see them:

Evan Almighty (HD) Oct. 9 (big, not huge)
Transformers (HD) Oct. 16
Spiderman (BR) 3 Oct. 30
Chuck and Larry (HD) Nov. 6 (big, not huge)
Ratatouille (BR) Nov. 6
Ocean's Thirteen (Neutral) Nov. 13
Shrek the Third (HD) Nov. 13
Star Trek: TOS (HD) Nov. 13
Hairspray (BR-timed) Nov. 13 (big, not huge)
Die Hard 4 (BR) Nov. 20
POTC 3 (BR) Dec. 4
Superbad (BR) Dec. 4 (big, not huge)
Bourne 3 (HD) Dec. 11
Harry Potter 1-5 (Neutral) Dec. 11
Rush Hour 3 (Unknown) Dec. 26
 
[quote name='mykevermin']prove it.
[/QUOTE]

I have a source at Sony that says Fox/Disney are being paid 200 million each by being exclusive. No, I can't tell you who it is, they are anonymous.

Oh look, it's the same bullshit unproven stuff as the Paramount/Dreamworks deal.

prove it. plz link to more stuff on blu-ray.com or an anonymous source
 
[quote name='Sporadic']I have a source at Sony that says Fox/Disney are being paid 200 million each by being exclusive. No, I can't tell you who it is, they are anonymous.

Oh look, it's the same bullshit unproven stuff as the Paramount/Dreamworks deal.

prove it. plz link to more stuff on blu-ray.com or an anonymous source[/QUOTE]

I've given that link plenty of times about the Paramount deal. If you think the New York Times are Blu-Ray fanboys who are making up their sources, I don't know what to tell you. Moreover, that blu-ray link I posted most recently was merely a good source with links to Media Life Magazine (or whatever it's called) that compiled HD/BR sales from Nielsen/Soundscan, meaning that the actual source of sales information is unbiased and reliable.

Sorry to deflate your belief that HD is really outselling BR 1000-to-1, but I've given my sources, and if you don't think they're worth considering, you're delusional. Now all I ask is that someone show me data that's beneficial to HD. Instead I'm getting the same old character assassinations from you HD DVD guys, since you HAVE NO DATA TO STAND ON. 'cept geko, at least he's polite about things, even when I'm a bastard.
 
[quote name='mykevermin']I've given that link plenty of times about the Paramount deal. If you think the New York Times are Blu-Ray fanboys who are making up their sources, I don't know what to tell you. [/QUOTE]

Sorry, it doesn't work like that.

You can't take the New York Times sourcing "two Viacom executives with knowledge of the deal but who asked not to be identified" and then try to post some "prove it." bullshit about Fox and Disney even though all signs point to them getting something especially after Disney's wink-and-nod no comment awhile back.

[quote name='mykevermin']I Moreover, that blu-ray link I posted most recently was merely a good source with links to Media Life Magazine (or whatever it's called) that compiled HD/BR sales from Nielsen/Soundscan, meaning that the actual source of sales information is unbiased and reliable.

Sorry to deflate your belief that HD is really outselling BR 1000-to-1, but I've given my sources, and if you don't think they're worth considering, you're delusional. Now all I ask is that someone show me data that's beneficial to HD. Instead I'm getting the same old character assassinations from you HD DVD guys, since you HAVE NO DATA TO STAND ON. 'cept geko, at least he's polite about things, even when I'm a bastard.[/QUOTE]

Yes, character assassination while you just choose to make shit up about me or imagine that me and gizmo are the same person. Newsflash, we aren't the same person, we don't have alot of the same views and fuck I'm not on anybody's team in here. I just can't stand most of you Blu-Ray guys and I hate most of your bullshit FUD spin shit you do.

[quote name='dallow']Sporadic, you still don't believe that, even when it's come from various sources?[/QUOTE]

Oh, I believe Paramount/Dreamworks got that beautiful novelty check from Toshiba/DVD Forum but trying to say Fox/Disney also didn't get the same thing is bullshit.
 
[quote name='mykevermin']'cept geko, at least he's polite about things, even when I'm a bastard.[/quote] [quote name='dallow']Geko is a gentleman.[/quote] You guys are gonna make me blush. :oops:

[quote name='rodeojones903']The HTSA is backing blu ray only now.

http://bluray.highdefdigest.com/news/show/Industry_Trends/Home_Theater_Group_Backs_Blu-ray/1004[/quote] Yeah that was reported a few weeks ago (though maybe not in here). While it is a nice notch on the belt, it's not exactly earth-shattering. 63 mom 'n pop HT stores (or rather, the co-op those stores formed) are installing almost exclusively Blu-Ray machines. Which if you think about it, is irresponsible. These are the people who sell and install multi-hundred-thousand-dollar home theaters for well-heeled clients. There is NO excuse for them to pick a side (EITHER side) to the detriment of their customers. If a guy's spending $300k on his home theater, do they honestly think an extra $500's going to break the bank, especially when it gets him access to the other half of movies that are available in HiDef?

The format war forces "normal" people like us to either choose a side, or pony up and have both. If you're investing that kind of dough, the war is completely irrelevant; If your installer picks a side, they're doing you a disservice.
 
You know myke I usually expect so little bias from you and for you to show this utter Blu-Boy love with glasses on disgusts me. I really expect better from YOU of all people.
 
[quote name='Sarang01']You know myke I usually expect so little bias from you and for you to show this utter Blu-Boy love with glasses on disgusts me. I really expect better from YOU of all people.[/QUOTE]


Coming from someone with an anti blu ray sig. :D
 
[quote name='dallow']I never said they didn't Sporadic.
I don't think myke has either.[/QUOTE]

I wasn't talking about you, that was just me venting my frustration.

Myke has though.

[quote name='gizmo']Paramount is the cheap 'whore', yet I'm sure Disney and Fox just love this whole Profile 1.0/1.1 mess. Yeah, there not being paid AT ALL![/quote]

[quote name='myke']prove it.[/QUOTE]
 
[quote name='Sporadic']I wasn't talking about you, that was just me venting my frustration.

Myke has though.[/quote]He was asking Giz to prove that the "gap is closing" as Giz had stated earlier, and Giz refused to post a link like 4 times.

Not prove that Disney/Fox were paid as well.
 
[quote name='dallow']He was asking Giz to prove that the "gap is closing" as Giz had stated earlier, and Giz refused to post a link like 4 times.

Not prove that Disney/Fox were paid as well.[/QUOTE]

Oh, well if that's the case then isn't my face red. I guess that's what I get for coming into the thread and just reading the last post.
 
[quote name='mykevermin']See, that's where you're already wrong (or at least 15-18 months ahead of yourself), so the rest of what you had to say isn't worth reading.[/quote]
wait & see
wait & see ;)
 
[quote name='Sporadic']Sorry, it doesn't work like that.

You can't take the New York Times sourcing "two Viacom executives with knowledge of the deal but who asked not to be identified" and then try to post some "prove it." bullshit about Fox and Disney even though all signs point to them getting something especially after Disney's wink-and-nod no comment awhile back.[/quote]

You're making the logical fallacy of "some As are Bs, and some Bs are Cs; thus, all As are Cs." There is ample tangible evidence of Paramount and Dreamworks receiving a $150 million benefits package, from the logical absurdity of going HD DVD exclusive as opposed to format neutral/BR exclusive (imagine if Activision took all their franchises to just the PS3 and stopped putting them out on the 360, as a means of comparison), to the anonymous sources you refuse to believe, to the abruptness of the deal (why would Paramount press and package copies of "Blades of Glory" on BR, only to not send them out to be sold? That's called "taking a loss" right there). OTOH, if you can source the same kind of evidence that suggests Fox or Disney are being bought out, I'll admit as much. You'll have to excuse me if I don't find "Paramount's doing it, so Fox and Disney must be too!" as a compelling reason for believing you. That's an argument based on blind faith, and not on evidence. Is it possible that they're getting perks? Yep. Is it likely they're getting perks? Yep. Have you, or anyone else here, SHOWN evidence of those perks? nope.

That's the big difference, puddin'.

As for anonymous sources, that's nothing new in media, and it won't cease being a mundane and necessary part of the news. It's natural for people employed at Viacom to speak under condition on anonymity about the deal, especially when Paramount's public statement on payment/remuneration is "no comment." You're a wrestling fan, you read dirt sheets; how often do they use anonymous sources? ALWAYS. They've never said "here's what Paul London told us about this upcoming storyline!" Speaking under condition of anonymity doesn't make Paramount's being bought off false or untrue, no different that speaking on condition of anonymity by Richard Armitage and Karl Rove led to Bob Novak fucking over Valerie Plame and Joe Wilson in a political assassination for the ages.

Yes, character assassination while you just choose to make shit up about me or imagine that me and gizmo are the same person. Newsflash, we aren't the same person, we don't have alot of the same views and fuck I'm not on anybody's team in here. I just can't stand most of you Blu-Ray guys and I hate most of your bullshit FUD spin shit you do.

I don't know if there's confusion here. I don't mean character assassination about ME. I don't care, frankly, what y'all say about me ('sides, you already proclaimed your love before, and you can't ever take that back). I meant character assassination about articles discussing the format war. I put up a Blu-Ray.com link earlier today, and warned to "hold your nose" while clicking the link. It was merely a useful and well-organized resource that contained collected links to an unbiased media magazine that gave visual data for movie-based marketshare per week, year to date, and since inception. They're valid data, even if you have to click on a link to Blu-ray.com to access them. So, I don't know if you looked at the link, but you felt like attacking it, instead of seeing the link for what it was: a conduit to a useful and unbiased resource. It's assuming and proclaiming every bit of news that doesn't benefit HD DVD as coming from an uninformed or biased source, rather than actually tackling the arguments and presentation, or, dare I ask, providing contrary data. I've not seen one iota of evidence that the YTD marketshare benefits Blu-Ray enough that HD DVD would need to sell 150% MORE discs than it has sold this year, just to TIE with BR.

Ultimately, it's the lack of counter evidence that people claim, the flippant disregard for valid data, along with the cynicism and skepticism towards any and all news sources, that comprise the character assassination. Not me; it ain't about me.

Oh, I believe Paramount/Dreamworks got that beautiful novelty check from Toshiba/DVD Forum but trying to say Fox/Disney also didn't get the same thing is bullshit.

I'll say it again, because it DOES work that way. Prove it.

(Re what dallow said above, I said "prove it" both in the context of Gizmo's claim that the sales gap is narrowing and also that Disney/Fox have been bought off. So, you're both right).

[quote name='Sarang01']You know myke I usually expect so little bias from you and for you to show this utter Blu-Boy love with glasses on disgusts me. I really expect better from YOU of all people.[/QUOTE]

Huh? What? Why? I own a Blu-Ray player, I relish in the fact that Blu-Ray remains the dominant hidef disc format both in the US and abroad, and I relish in the fact that the sales trends have been stable enough that there's little worry in my mind. Utter Blu-Boy love? Yegads. I'm not neutral on this one; though I suppose that suggests I'm being bought off. Would that that were the case! :lol:
 
[quote name='geko29']Oh I didn't mean to say Transformers was going to permanently change the tide. Just that it's the first of many blockbusters (on both sides) that are going to cause the needle to swing WILDLY throughout the fourth quarter, which will make calculating the mean difficult.

Big and/or Huge releases as I see them:

Evan Almighty (HD) Oct. 9 (big, not huge)
Transformers (HD) Oct. 16
Spiderman (BR) 3 Oct. 30
Chuck and Larry (HD) Nov. 6 (big, not huge)
Ratatouille (BR) Nov. 6
Ocean's Thirteen (Neutral) Nov. 13
Shrek the Third (HD) Nov. 13
Star Trek: TOS (HD) Nov. 13
Hairspray (BR-timed) Nov. 13 (big, not huge)
Die Hard 4 (BR) Nov. 20
POTC 3 (BR) Dec. 4
Superbad (BR) Dec. 4 (big, not huge)
Bourne 3 (HD) Dec. 11
Harry Potter 1-5 (Neutral) Dec. 11
Rush Hour 3 (Unknown) Dec. 26[/QUOTE]

As much as it pains me ("Chuck and Larry!?!?!"), that is a comprehensive list, with only one exception I can see: Cars. I don't think that franchise has run out of steam just yet.
 
I debated putting Cars on the list, and decided against it for a couple of reasons:

1) Catalog title. HUGE seller on DVD, usually means mediocre sales on HDM.
2) Animation doesn't tend to do as well as live-action on HDM.

I don't know if the second is because it upscales better (less obvious improvement from SD->HD); or because it doesn't fit the early adopter demographics; or because the target audience (kids) generally don't have hi-def players in their rooms, so the SD is the "wiser" choice.

Now Ratatouille and Shrek I think will sell despite this because they're D&D. But I don't see a big market at the moment for animated catalogs, even recent ones. I could of course be wrong.

And BTW putting Chuck and Larry on the list pained me as well. You'll notice I didn't even dignify it by spelling out the entire title. :) But since it made about the same at the box office as Superbad, Hairspray, and Evan Almighty, it had to make the cut.
 
Fair arguments all around.

About the only counter I'd have to Cars (you make valid points, BTW) is that Disney aficionados are fuckin' WHACKJOBS (or, more affectionately, "collectors"). Disney markets their videos well, and people buy them to keep and collect, and others buy them to sell on eBay when they do OOP. At least the classic 2D Disney DVDs are like that; I'm not certain if you can consider the Pixar stuff in the same vain.
 
Although catalog releases, I feel that Die Hard series, Spiderman 1 and 2 (especially since early reviews are that it is AWESOME), Robocop, and Independence Day are going to be pretty popular, or at least, me and my friends are very excited for them. Also, you forgot The simpsons Movie, which will be BD-exclusive.

And I will agree with myke on Cars, any Disney release is HUGE, especially a franchise that is so widely liked as Cars.

http://www.highdefdigest.com/news/show/997

New Line is apparently planning a next gen release for 'Rush Hour 3,' with the Blu-ray expected just after Christmas, and the HD DVD to follow sometime in 2008.
Rush Hour 3 sounds exclusive to me.

http://www.blu-ray.com/news/?id=519
Vivid Entertainment has announced that the alt-adult feature 'Debbie Loves Dallas' (not to be confused with 'Debbie Does Dallas') is in stores today. More significant to the story is the fact that Vivid is releasing this title on Blu-ray and DVD with no release planned for HD DVD. This is a change in Vivid's policy which was originally format neutral.
ZOMG! PORN CHOOSES BLU! FORMAT WAR OVER!

/sarcasm

http://www.news.com/8301-10784_3-9789392-7.html

Panasonic: Blu-ray will win the war by New Year's Day
Posted by Michael Kanellos

CHIBA, Japan--The decisive battle between Blu-ray and HD DVD is at hand, says a prominent Panasonic exec.

Blu-ray manufacturers are going to start cutting prices and go out on a promotional binge this holiday season, Matsushita Electric Industrial's Kazuhiro Tsuga said during a briefing with reporters at Ceatec, a large tech trade show that started here Tuesday. At Matsushita, which is best known for its Panasonic brand name, Tsuga is an executive officer who oversees networking efforts, some home electronics technologies and overseas labs, and other areas.

By the end of the Christmas season or the end of the first quarter, the writing will be on the wall. The format war in earnest may last only another year, he predicted.

"The BD (Blu-ray disc) companies will try to do our best to promote Blu-ray," he said. "The studios want us to put money in to promote it."

He added: "By the end of the year, you will see good products with very good promotion."

The Blu-ray coalition is also working on ways to cut the price of slim Blu-ray drives and recorders to allow the technology to infiltrate notebooks and PCs.

And wouldn't you know it--Matsushita has new Blu-ray players on the way. The three models will handle 18 hours of full-HD programs on a dual-layer disc and will go on sale November 1 in Japan, according to Reuters.

Tsuga's no fan of combo players that conjoin Blu-ray and HD DVD features. Last year, he called the idea "stupid, stupid." He pretty much repeated the comment this year and said that Matsushita still has no plans for such a device.

He downplayed Paramount Pictures' commitment to release movies on HD DVD exclusively, saying it only lasts for 18 months, and argues that studios are going with HD DVD "because big money came" to them. (Microsoft, Toshiba and Intel are the main backers of HD DVD.)
Interesting to see Panasonic come out like this, I hope his predictions are true about the agressive marketing.

http://www.dvdreview.com/news/viewnews.asp?id=9630

Godzilla will stomp onto Blu-Ray in spring
Roland Emmerich’s 1998 take on the Japanese kaiju icon, Godzilla, will make its high definition entrance in March from Sony Pictures Home Entertainment as we’ve just discovered, marking the film’s 10th Anniversary.
Following the French atomic bomb tests in the South Pacific, an unknown creature is spotted passing westward through the Panama Canal. Scientist Niko Tatopolous is called in to investigate the matter, and he quickly arrives at the conclusion that a giant, irradiated lizard has been created by the explosions. Godzilla then makes its way north, landing at Manhattan to begin wreaking havoc in the big city. Even with the combined forces of the U.S. military to fight the monster, will it be enough to save the people of New York?
The film will be presented in a 1080p widescreen transfer and feature 5.1 Dolby Digital audio tracks in English, French, German, and Russian. As special features the disc will contain All Time Best Of Godzilla Fight Scenes and the Featurette "Behind the Scenes of Godzilla with Charles Caiman". Further, the "Heroes" Music Video by The Wallflowers will be included on the disc.
The release is scheduled for March 4 currently.

Format war over. :) (BTw, this is the version with Matthew Broderick, which I liked, but many don't.)
 
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