[quote name='n8rockerasu']I feel like you might as well flip a coin. Verlander could be off and walk a lot of guys. Or CC could throw a bunch of meatballs. I suppose there's a chance both guys are sharp and the lineups have to just grind and battle. But it seems like one guy being off happens far more often. On Friday I thought CC looked better than Verlander, but it could be a completely different story tomorrow (especially since the Tigers will be at home now). This is why I would have rather matched up Burnett against Verlander. If Verlander is on his game, it doesn't matter how many runs the Yanks give up.
Everybody likes to just match up aces and have these big duels, but in terms of strategy, it seems foolish. Burnett can pitch like an ace on any given day when he's not out of his mind. If Verlander has an off night, I could easily see AJ beating him. Then, the Yanks would have CC and Nova behind him. The Tigers would be shitting their pants. At worst, Verlander kills AJ, and you've got CC and Nova to respond with against weaker Detroit pitching. But with a 1-1 split, now the entire series hinges on CC beating Verlander or Burnett not melting down. Piss poor strategy.[/QUOTE]
This isn't typical three days rest, but they did go through their complete warm-up routines and throw an inning (or 2 in CC's case). Sabathia has experience (albeit limited) of successfully pitching on short rest. Verlander has never pitched on short rest in his life. I think the ballpark is a big factor as well. Having a little league right-field (I kid, I kid) gave Yankee lefties a weapon against Verlander.
I just wrote all that and came to the same conclusion as you, a bloody coin flip.