[quote name='abreed']Obviously… still the question has not been answered. If you use that logic, everything in the world has 100% failure rate. Humans have 100% failure rate, since it is not a matter of if you will die, it is when. All I was wondering… are the failure rates for the new HDMI/Elites comparable to the older models. Granted, the newer models have not been played as much, but has anyone tested them side by side? I am sure Microsoft has, but does anyone have any reasonable proof at all that the HDMIs are more stable than the classic ones. It can be assumed the problem is slightly resolved, if the problem was the expected overheating, by the large heat sink. But is there any proof to any of those claims?[/QUOTE]
Not to be pedantic, but death is not an aberration, but part of the normal cycle... We all die. Now, a better argument would have been cancer. We are not all eventually going to get cancer and die, but some of us will... it brings about the inevitable end of something (us), but in a manner (or time frame) we do not expect. Sort of like your car seizing up after 20,000 miles... it would eventually wear down and need fixing, but at 20k, you wouldn't expect the thing to leave you stranded on the road.
However, we're not buying the 360 just to have it expectantly die with the RRoD. That's an unexpected (expected, I suppose if it's already happened to you) result. Sure parts will fail on the unit and need fixing, or replacing... but not within the first 3 years of use... goodness knows, it's like the equivalent of console cancer... unexpected, but far too common with the original batch of 360's.
What is true is at some point since the "free 3 year warranty" announcement and the HDMI Premiums, we got a batch of consoles (and going forward should have more of those) that address what could be considered one of the issues with the RRoD, heat and the heatsink. The 65nm chips will reduce it a little more, as well as power consumption, but they're still out a ways, I guess.
But like you said, we've not gotten enough statistical evidence on the new ones to see if the "fix" is indeed the ultimate fix that prevents the inevitable (and unintentional) RRoD...
I play my 6/7/07 elite sometimes hours on end like my old one (11/6/06) which never died (I have it as a travel system)... so anecdotally, I'll have more specific information about my Elite, should it ever get the RRoD (it has the new heatsinks, but the 90mm chips)
I am more confident of the long-term life of my Elite than my old Premium, but nothing's 100% yet... we're in transition...