[quote name='dopa345']No way China ever invades Taiwan. It's just posturing on both sides (as recently as 10 years ago, Taiwan's offical party line was that mainland China is a province "in rebellion" as well but had "ruled out" using military force). However, now they are so economically dependent on each other (Taiwan is one of the largest investor nations in China), there is no reason for China to invade, not even considering the diplomatic mess that would be.[/QUOTE]
80% of China's military spending is towards the possible invasion of Taiwan, and not the defense of China. This is not a rational government here, they're communists. Their strategy is to hit Taiwan with thousands of missiles (which are already in place on the coast), then send in a massive amount of troops, Normandy style, and quickly overwhelm the island, so that our role isn't simply preventing China from invading, but evicting China from the island, which is a completely different scenario strategically and politically. Their strategy when it comes to us is not to beat us, but to make it painful enough that it'll be an unpopular war. Plus, they just developed new submarine based ICBMs as a nuclear deterrent.
This is a serious threat that we'll have to deal with in the next 20 years. It almost happened in 96. Theres a reason why we have a huge military presence in the Pacific.