Thats a very interesting way of looking at the situation. I think we all know where 4 people stand at the moment. Peter, Hiro, and Claire are the big 3 do-gooders and Sylar is a bad ass mofo. Other than that, we can only speculate at this point. And here are my speculations, soley based on opinion and nothing more or less;
Nathan - I think he'll ultimately be a bad guy, possibly even a leader
Matt - He's a tough sell either way. Right now he's leaning me towards bad, but thats just due to Ted
Ted - Bad, especially with this whole revenge angle
Mr. Bennet - He'll be percieved as a bad guy, until he dies to save Claire in the season Finale,
Haitian dude - He walks the line too well to call, but I'll go good guy only following orders
I don't really have too many opinions on the DL/Micah/Niki/Jessica arc, as I see it as being pointless at this point. And I've not really read into the new chick to see where she lies, but I am guess she'll be bad.